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QLD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 641 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares Ultra QQQ
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 12, 2008
📊
641
Total Alerts
🎯
55.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.81%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.4%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: +1.21%
Worst: -1.27%
Trades: 341/291

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +2.75%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 334/300

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +3.57%
Worst: -3.66%
Trades: 334/297

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.7%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +4.81%
Worst: -5.05%
Trades: 324/310

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.1%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +13.88%
Worst: -8.11%
Trades: 353/287

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.81%
Best MFE: +14.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 182 min

On average, QLD alerts reach +1.81% profit potential within 182 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.69%
Worst MAE: -6.65%
Avg Time to MAE: 31 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 641 alerts, QLD typically reaches +1.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 641
Gap Up % 49.8%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +1.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QLD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:09 $117.72 -0.12% -0.15% +0.18% +0.35% +0.70% +0.97% -0.20% -0.11% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:56 $115.08 +0.63% +0.17% +0.44% +0.96% +2.22% +2.34% -0.29% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:09 $111.85 -0.12% +0.65% +1.11% +1.40% +2.26% +2.60% -0.18% -0.07% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:48 $114.06 -0.03% +0.31% +0.14% +0.11% +0.88% +0.97% -0.55% +0.04% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:20 $108.2 +0.11% +0.49% +0.05% +1.28% +1.88% +2.95% -0.94% +0.05% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:47 $112.58 +0.04% +0.09% +0.24% -0.66% -0.15% +0.99% -0.37% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:14 $109.07 +0.12% -0.69% -0.39% +1.30% +2.62% +3.06% -1.27% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:50 $107.16 +1.17% +1.64% +2.17% +2.37% +1.40% +2.99% - +0.16% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:25 $115.44 +0.61% +0.33% +1.04% +0.95% +0.80% +1.67% -0.02% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-21 09:25:00 $113.33 -0.07% -1.01% -0.78% -0.86% +0.06% +0.59% -1.65% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:22 $112.84 -0.90% -1.45% -1.40% -1.36% -0.58% +0.06% -1.63% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:17 $111.07 -0.62% -0.76% -0.96% -1.04% -2.21% +0.06% -0.02% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:58 $108.6 +0.13% +0.45% +0.68% +1.29% +1.36% +1.86% -0.58% +0.02% WIN
2025-01-14 09:27:46 $106.97 -0.25% +0.17% -0.89% -0.63% -1.54% +0.42% -0.59% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:28:42 $103.69 +0.02% +0.17% +0.31% -0.44% +1.81% +1.96% -0.58% -0.03% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:14 $107.87 -0.31% -0.88% -1.22% -1.68% -1.52% +0.21% -0.20% +0.21% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:42 $109.63 +0.18% +0.04% -0.07% -0.66% +0.09% +0.74% -1.71% +0.05% WIN
2025-01-07 09:29:08 $114.26 -0.38% -0.21% -0.68% -1.97% -3.98% +0.12% -0.04% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:29:06 $113.5 +0.51% +0.56% +0.84% +1.37% +0.27% +1.54% - +0.07% WIN
2025-01-03 09:26:13 $109.05 +0.35% +1.03% +0.69% +0.31% +2.04% +2.44% -0.30% +0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.1% Baseline on QLD

The 55.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push QLD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize QLD Strategy →

Why Analyze QLD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QLD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QLD historically offers an average upside of +1.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QLD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.1%, QLD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show QLD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.