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QMCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 36 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-10 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (36 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 10, 1982 🔗 www.quantum.com
💰 Market Cap: $96.3M 👥 Employees: 635
Quantum Corp is a United States-based company that delivers end-to-end data management solutions designed for unstructured data in the era of artificial intelligence (AI). It provides one of the comprehensive and cost-efficient solutions for the entire data lifecycle. The group provides solutions for video, images, audio, and other large files because this unstructured data represents. Its portfolio of products includes primary storage software and systems, secondary storage software and systems, as well as devices and media. The group operates in three geographic regions: Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), and Asia Pacific (APAC).
📊
36
Total Alerts
🎯
47.2%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.25%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+19.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.9%
Avg Gain: -1.28%
Avg Winner: +2.86%
Avg Loser: -4.10%
Best: +11.98%
Worst: -11.25%
Trades: 14/21

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +6.05%
Avg Loser: -5.89%
Best: +26.79%
Worst: -22.93%
Trades: 17/19

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +7.57%
Avg Loser: -6.97%
Best: +31.62%
Worst: -24.91%
Trades: 16/18

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.4%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +17.29%
Avg Loser: -7.12%
Best: +71.41%
Worst: -24.88%
Trades: 11/24

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: +269.79%
Avg Winner: +664.54%
Avg Loser: -12.17%
Best: +2237.08%
Worst: -27.93%
Trades: 15/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +19.78%
Best MFE: +190.10%
Avg Time to MFE: 85 min

On average, QMCO alerts reach +19.78% profit potential within 85 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.16%
Worst MAE: -13.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.83:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.83x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 36 alerts, QMCO typically reaches +19.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 15.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 36
Gap Up % 36.1%
Avg Gap -0.53%
Best Gap +4.08%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES

How QMCO compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
QMCO: -1.69% Sector: -0.15% -1.54%
EOD Gain
QMCO: +225.27% Sector: +43.34% +181.93%
Avg MFE
QMCO: +17.58% Sector: +5.36% +12.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QMCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:27:21 $29.19 +1.51% +1.85% +3.21% +2.76% +2.06% +5.69% -3.22% +0.72% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:39 $39.22 +0.71% -3.17% -2.37% -6.04% -8.82% +4.54% -0.99% +0.99% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:28 $35.81 -1.95% +0.59% +1.23% -0.08% -8.96% +3.60% -2.68% -0.67% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:25:08 $32.73 -9.62% -1.28% +6.94% +3.12% +17.84% +18.85% -9.62% -2.25% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:27:17 $27.55 +6.42% +11.43% +13.57% +25.30% +21.60% +28.46% -2.40% -2.00% WIN
2025-01-14 09:25:55 $22.53 +4.26% +5.15% +4.70% +3.55% -0.53% +9.54% -0.98% +0.89% WIN
2025-01-13 09:27:23 $25.14 -3.87% -7.32% -7.63% -14.76% -16.87% -0.52% -8.51% -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:45 $31.85 -7.50% +0.09% -1.76% +2.48% -13.75% +4.77% -10.52% -1.29% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:26:00 $34.0 -1.97% -11.07% -6.15% -0.85% -7.56% +2.94% -12.44% -2.74% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:29:46 $54.68 +1.41% -1.23% -0.50% +4.79% -0.48% +6.53% -8.30% -0.43% WIN
2024-12-30 09:27:24 $64.7 -4.96% -11.13% -9.58% -9.64% -3.93% +5.10% -13.45% -2.70% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:27:31 $72.2 -0.93% +10.80% +12.99% +5.09% -2.12% +25.54% -5.75% -3.89% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:29:27 $51.0 +0.24% -3.14% -1.97% -6.67% -7.76% +2.98% -1.57% +0.14% WIN
2024-12-20 09:29:05 $33.48 +6.02% +26.79% +31.62% +43.08% +37.40% +46.71% -1.43% -1.43% WIN
2024-12-19 09:29:07 $48.72 -11.25% -22.93% -24.91% -24.88% -26.05% +0.55% -7.20% -1.25% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:25:47 $22.13 +0.09% +9.35% +11.89% +18.62% +171.22% +190.10% -0.59% +1.58% WIN
2024-12-17 09:29:12 $29.3 -5.12% +3.45% -17.75% -16.82% -19.04% +5.80% -12.63% -0.44% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:26:12 $22.92 -0.09% +2.95% +2.71% -18.70% -14.44% +16.10% -2.40% +0.35% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:39 $16.93 -6.00% -3.78% +3.96% -6.11% -6.14% +6.32% -12.70% +0.41% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:25:30 $11.43 +2.27% +4.90% +4.57% -1.44% +23.88% +26.51% -3.32% -0.52% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ QMCO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.2% win rate and -0.25% average gain, QMCO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider QMCO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze QMCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QMCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QMCO historically offers an average upside of +19.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QMCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.2%, QMCO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests QMCO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: QMCO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.25%). This suggests QMCO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.