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QNCX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-11 → 2024-10-25

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Quince Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 09, 2019 🔗 www.quincetx.com
💰 Market Cap: $171.5M 👥 Employees: 36
Quince Therapeutics Inc is preclinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on advancing precision therapeutics for debilitating and rare diseases. The company discovered a broad bone-targeting drug platform designed to precisely deliver small molecules, peptides, or large molecules directly to the site of bone fracture and disease to promote rapid healing with fewer off-target safety concerns compared to non-targeted therapeutics. Company pipeline includes Ataxia-Telangiectasia(EryDex), Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, New Indications and Program Expansion Potential.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
35.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-3.31%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -2.24%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -4.42%
Best: +2.16%
Worst: -10.40%
Trades: 4/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -1.58%
Avg Winner: +5.79%
Avg Loser: -4.85%
Best: +11.06%
Worst: -10.28%
Trades: 4/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 21.4%
Avg Gain: -2.67%
Avg Winner: +9.00%
Avg Loser: -6.44%
Best: +17.65%
Worst: -14.00%
Trades: 3/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -4.03%
Avg Winner: +8.00%
Avg Loser: -6.58%
Best: +12.75%
Worst: -18.67%
Trades: 2/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -3.31%
Avg Winner: +4.19%
Avg Loser: -8.41%
Best: +5.88%
Worst: -23.33%
Trades: 5/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.08%
Best MFE: +27.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, QNCX alerts reach +7.08% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.00%
Worst MAE: -13.28%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.00%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.42:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, QNCX typically reaches +7.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 14.3%
Avg Gap -2.09%
Best Gap +1.96%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How QNCX compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
QNCX: -2.23% Sector: -0.41% -1.82%
EOD Gain
QNCX: -3.47% Sector: +1233.50% -1236.97%
Avg MFE
QNCX: +7.52% Sector: +6.69% +0.83%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QNCX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-25 09:28:16 $1.02 +0.06% +11.06% +17.65% +12.75% +5.88% +27.45% -2.94% +1.96% WIN
2024-08-15 09:28:19 $0.56 -1.76% -4.99% -6.31% -1.22% -2.93% +12.79% -8.12% +1.29% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:26:00 $1.12 +0.89% +6.25% -0.89% - - +7.14% -0.89% -0.89% WIN
2023-07-25 09:25:00 $1.14 +0.88% -0.08% +1.75% -3.51% +2.63% +7.02% -5.26% -0.88% WIN
2023-07-24 09:27:00 $1.5 -7.34% -10.28% -14.00% -18.67% -23.33% +0.67% - -0.67% LOSS
2023-07-13 09:28:00 $1.66 -0.05% -4.22% -5.42% -3.61% -0.60% +3.01% -1.20% -1.81% LOSS
2023-03-22 09:29:00 $1.41 - -0.71% - -0.99% +2.84% +4.96% -2.13% - -
2023-03-21 09:25:00 $1.38 +2.16% +3.61% +7.61% +3.26% +4.35% +10.87% -3.62% -2.90% WIN
2023-03-16 09:27:00 $0.85 -2.35% - -4.71% -3.53% -1.18% +1.36% -4.71% -2.35% LOSS
2023-01-31 09:25:00 $0.99 - -0.91% -2.93% -7.09% -0.91% +2.12% -8.80% -2.43% -
2023-01-30 09:25:00 $0.95 -2.29% -4.87% -8.42% -10.04% +5.26% +8.42% -13.28% -3.05% LOSS
2023-01-27 09:26:00 $1.25 -4.80% +2.24% -4.00% -3.20% -13.60% +17.60% -5.60% - LOSS
2023-01-17 09:28:00 $0.88 -10.40% -9.09% -7.95% -7.95% -8.75% -1.15% -4.55% -9.09% LOSS
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $2.82 -6.38% -8.51% -9.79% -12.61% -15.96% -3.19% -8.87% -8.51% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ QNCX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 35.7% win rate and -3.31% average gain, QNCX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider QNCX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze QNCX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QNCX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QNCX historically offers an average upside of +7.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QNCX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 35.7%, QNCX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests QNCX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: QNCX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -3.31%). This suggests QNCX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.