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Latest signal:

QQQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 23, 2011
📊
759
Total Alerts
🎯
55.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -0.13%
Best: +0.66%
Worst: -0.61%
Trades: 416/336

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +1.45%
Worst: -1.35%
Trades: 386/370

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.8%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -1.80%
Trades: 400/356

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.3%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +2.43%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 381/375

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +6.81%
Worst: -4.22%
Trades: 408/351

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.85%
Best MFE: +6.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 179 min

On average, QQQ alerts reach +0.85% profit potential within 179 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.34%
Worst MAE: -3.31%
Avg Time to MAE: 33 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, QQQ typically reaches +0.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 51.1%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QQQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:06 $536.2 +0.05% -0.07% +0.09% +0.15% +0.36% +0.49% -0.10% -0.04% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:38 $530.0 +0.35% +0.07% +0.25% +0.48% +1.11% +1.17% -0.15% -0.00% WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:15 $522.38 +0.17% +0.49% +0.56% +0.65% +1.13% +1.30% -0.08% -0.02% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:57 $525.78 +0.22% +0.36% +0.40% +0.55% +0.42% +0.79% +0.00% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-10 09:28:05 $527.19 -0.05% +0.14% +0.11% +0.48% +0.39% +0.60% -0.08% +0.01% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:42 $530.17 +0.27% +0.24% -0.21% -0.61% -1.37% +0.36% -0.07% -0.01% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:11 $527.37 -0.10% -0.08% +0.07% +0.07% +0.42% +0.46% -0.31% -0.00% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:38 $521.89 -0.04% +0.07% +0.04% +0.12% +0.95% +1.04% -0.24% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:29 $518.66 -0.05% +0.34% +0.62% +1.04% +1.12% +1.24% -0.08% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:14 $513.42 +0.05% +0.22% +0.02% +0.67% +0.91% +1.45% -0.46% +0.01% WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:43 $526.77 +0.31% +0.22% +0.38% +0.55% -0.85% +0.90% -0.02% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:51 $523.76 -0.22% +0.02% -0.03% -0.62% -0.14% +0.45% -0.24% -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:56 $522.66 -0.33% -0.46% -0.41% -0.48% -0.35% -0.01% -0.04% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:55 $515.19 -0.17% -0.50% -0.08% +0.79% +1.28% +1.52% -0.66% +0.01% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:49 $510.73 +0.66% +0.67% +0.97% +0.92% +0.68% +1.42% -0.06% +0.05% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:50 $532.88 -0.09% -0.06% +0.09% -0.21% -0.61% +0.17% -0.18% +0.03% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:31 $528.89 +0.07% +0.14% +0.06% +0.08% +0.71% +0.74% -0.08% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:51 $529.37 +0.30% +0.17% +0.52% +0.48% +0.40% +0.84% -0.02% +0.04% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:37 $524.64 -0.07% -0.38% -0.44% -0.39% +0.03% +0.25% -0.87% -0.03% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:44 $523.01 -0.32% -0.51% -0.54% -0.60% -0.24% +0.20% -0.75% -0.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.0% Baseline on QQQ

The 55.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push QQQ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize QQQ Strategy →

Why Analyze QQQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QQQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QQQ historically offers an average upside of +0.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QQQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.0%, QQQ shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show QQQ performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.