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RAVE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-14 → 2022-03-28

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 01, 1993 🔗 www.raverg.com
💰 Market Cap: $45.1M 👥 Employees: 24
Rave Restaurant Group Inc operates and franchises pizza buffet, delivery/carry-out, express restaurants, and ghost kitchens. It operates restaurants under the brand name, Pizza Inn, and Pie Five Pizza Company. It has three operating segments. The Pizza Inn Franchising and Pie Five Franchising segments establish franchisees, licensees, and territorial rights. The corporate administration and other segments. The Pizza Inn Franchising segment accounts for the majority of the company's revenue. Geographically, it generates the majority of the revenue from the United States.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.22%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+4.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -0.99%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -2.28%
Best: +0.93%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +0.95%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 4/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.15%
Avg Winner: +2.75%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +4.57%
Worst: -0.93%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +3.73%
Avg Loser: -2.28%
Best: +4.63%
Worst: -3.54%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.19%
Best MFE: +8.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, RAVE alerts reach +4.19% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.82%
Worst MAE: -2.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 45 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, RAVE typically reaches +4.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 16.7%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +3.70%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-GROCERIES & RELATED PRODUCTS

How RAVE compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RAVE: -0.46% Sector: +0.13% -0.59%
EOD Gain
RAVE: -0.30% Sector: +0.32% -0.61%
Avg MFE
RAVE: +4.38% Sector: +2.32% +2.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RAVE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $1.13 -1.77% - - - -3.54% +0.89% -1.77% - LOSS
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $1.08 -2.78% -1.85% - - +4.63% +8.33% -2.78% -2.78% LOSS
2022-03-23 09:25:00 $1.08 +0.93% +0.95% -0.93% -1.85% -2.78% +3.70% +0.93% +3.70% WIN
2022-03-18 09:25:00 $1.06 - +0.94% +4.57% +2.83% +2.83% +5.66% -2.83% - -
2022-03-15 09:25:00 $1.07 - +0.09% - - -1.87% +2.80% -1.87% - -
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $1.06 -2.29% +0.94% +0.94% +0.94% -0.94% +3.76% -2.58% -1.89% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on RAVE

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RAVE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RAVE Strategy →

Why Analyze RAVE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RAVE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RAVE historically offers an average upside of +4.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RAVE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, RAVE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RAVE performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.22%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.