FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

RBA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-07 → 2023-09-07

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 10, 1998 🔗 www.rbglobal.com
💰 Market Cap: $21.46B 👥 Employees: 7,900
RB Global has evolved into a leading global marketplace that connects buyers and sellers of commercial assets and vehicles. It is the result of the 2023 combination of Ritchie Bros. and IAA. Ritchie Bros.' roots were as an auctioneer facilitating transactions of commercial, construction, and transportation equipment (excavators, bulldozers, forklifts, and commercial trucks and trailers). However, it has evolved into an omnichannel marketplace. IAA has similar roots, though primarily focused on the salvage auction segment for consumer automobiles. The group provides ancillary services including title processing, transportation/towing, financing, data and appraisal, and so on. Its activities are international, though skewing approximately two-thirds to North America.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.21%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.00%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +0.55%
Worst: -1.39%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -3.56%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: -5.61%
Trades: 3/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -1.66%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: +0.88%
Worst: -5.92%
Trades: 1/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -2.68%
Avg Winner: +0.21%
Avg Loser: -7.01%
Best: +0.34%
Worst: -8.96%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.91%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -5.58%
Best: +0.80%
Worst: -7.50%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.00%
Best MFE: +1.38%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, RBA alerts reach +1.00% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.46%
Worst MAE: -1.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, RBA typically reaches +1.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 20.0%
Avg Gap -0.27%
Best Gap +0.26%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How RBA compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RBA: -0.21% Sector: -0.05% -0.16%
EOD Gain
RBA: -1.91% Sector: +1758.96% -1760.88%
Avg MFE
RBA: +1.00% Sector: +2.89% -1.89%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RBA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-09-07 09:27:00 $65.0 +0.55% +0.02% -0.63% +0.23% +0.78% +1.38% -0.66% -0.29% WIN
2023-04-17 09:26:00 $58.82 +0.37% +0.94% +0.88% +0.34% - +1.19% -0.14% +0.26% WIN
2023-03-27 09:27:00 $54.98 +0.20% +0.12% -0.09% +0.05% +0.80% +1.22% -0.38% -0.15% WIN
2023-03-06 09:26:00 $63.2 -0.79% -1.52% -2.56% -5.05% -3.66% +1.06% -1.11% -0.32% LOSS
2022-11-07 09:25:00 $55.45 -1.39% -5.61% -5.92% -8.96% -7.50% +0.13% - -0.83% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RBA Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, RBA has -0.21% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making RBA profitable.

🔧 Fix RBA Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze RBA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RBA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RBA historically offers an average upside of +1.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RBA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, RBA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.09%) outweigh average wins (+0.38%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RBA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.21%). This suggests RBA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.