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RBRK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-26 → 2024-12-13

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 25, 2024 🔗 www.rubrik.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.14B
Rubrik Inc is a company that offers data security solutions to organizations ranging from the largest companies world-wide to mid-sized smaller customers. Its platform is architected to help organizations achieve cyber resilience, which encompasses cyber posture and cyber recovery. It enables organizations to confidently accelerate digital transformation and leverage the cloud to realize business agility. Geographically, the company operates in the Americas, EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa) and APAC (Asia Pacific). It generates maximum revenue from Americas.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.09%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.09%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +3.75%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.18%
Avg Winner: +2.31%
Avg Loser: -2.20%
Best: +6.06%
Worst: -2.20%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.40%
Avg Winner: +3.90%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +7.22%
Worst: -1.33%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.00%
Avg Winner: +4.33%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +7.88%
Worst: -0.36%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.54%
Best MFE: +11.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, RBRK alerts reach +4.54% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.63%
Worst MAE: -4.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.79:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.79x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, RBRK typically reaches +4.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +1.06%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How RBRK compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RBRK: +1.09% Sector: -0.09% +1.18%
EOD Gain
RBRK: -0.16% Sector: +73.64% -73.80%
Avg MFE
RBRK: +4.54% Sector: +4.32% +0.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RBRK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-13 09:29:41 $71.22 +1.10% +0.34% +0.59% -0.31% +1.35% +2.07% -0.46% -0.11% WIN
2024-12-06 09:28:41 $64.99 +3.75% +6.06% +7.22% +7.88% -0.55% +11.80% -4.51% +1.06% WIN
2024-06-04 09:27:39 $30.81 +0.75% +0.52% -1.33% +0.78% -0.19% +3.21% -1.33% -0.88% WIN
2024-04-26 09:27:47 $38.48 -1.25% -2.20% -0.86% -0.36% -1.25% +1.09% -0.21% -0.47% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on RBRK

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RBRK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RBRK Strategy →

Why Analyze RBRK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RBRK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RBRK historically offers an average upside of +4.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RBRK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, RBRK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RBRK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.