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RCAT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 76 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-14 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (76 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 02, 2002 🔗 www.redcat.red
💰 Market Cap: $1.92B 👥 Employees: 115
Red Cat Holdings Inc is a drone technology company integrating robotic hardware and software for military, government, and commercial operations. Red Cat's suite of solutions includes the Arachnid family of ISR and precision strike drones, which includes the Black Widow, a small unmanned ISR system; and WEB (Warfighter Electronic Bridge) GCS, designed to command and control an entire drone family of systems for military operations. Its other offerings include Edge 130 Blue drone systems, Trichon, a fixed-wing VTOL for extended endurance and range, and FANG FPV drones optimized for military operations with precision strike capabilities.
📊
76
Total Alerts
🎯
56.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.66%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+8.34%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +3.10%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: +8.01%
Worst: -9.79%
Trades: 28/47

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +4.05%
Avg Loser: -3.67%
Best: +10.77%
Worst: -12.73%
Trades: 38/37

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.6%
Avg Gain: +0.66%
Avg Winner: +4.13%
Avg Loser: -3.99%
Best: +13.19%
Worst: -9.10%
Trades: 43/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +5.80%
Avg Loser: -4.26%
Best: +15.48%
Worst: -12.40%
Trades: 36/39

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: +0.71%
Avg Winner: +8.56%
Avg Loser: -5.99%
Best: +45.99%
Worst: -18.34%
Trades: 35/41

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.34%
Best MFE: +56.15%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, RCAT alerts reach +8.34% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.27%
Worst MAE: -13.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.27%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 76 alerts, RCAT typically reaches +8.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 76
Gap Up % 28.9%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +2.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How RCAT compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RCAT: -0.66% Sector: -0.09% -0.56%
EOD Gain
RCAT: +0.71% Sector: +73.64% -72.92%
Avg MFE
RCAT: +8.34% Sector: +4.32% +4.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RCAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:56 $9.38 -1.92% -6.61% -4.05% -2.93% -4.90% -0.28% -2.45% -2.13% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:30 $9.7 -3.92% -7.11% -6.60% -5.05% -2.78% - -4.33% -1.86% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:36 $9.34 +1.73% -1.12% +0.54% - -0.43% +2.57% -2.09% +0.54% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:42 $10.49 -0.10% -1.43% +3.05% -0.19% -8.34% +5.15% -2.67% +0.10% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:42 $10.86 -5.43% -5.80% -4.42% -4.60% -1.01% +3.13% -7.83% -1.20% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:25:44 $10.99 +1.64% -0.55% +0.91% +0.68% -2.09% +2.09% -1.64% -0.68% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:24 $10.07 +4.97% +0.60% -4.12% +3.77% +5.36% +7.70% -4.97% -0.60% WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:29 $9.94 - -0.71% +1.01% -0.70% -1.41% +3.02% -0.10% +0.60% -
2025-02-04 09:28:28 $9.01 +3.33% +2.66% +1.89% +4.23% +11.65% +12.42% - +0.11% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:03 $8.12 -2.96% -1.97% -3.08% +0.37% +8.62% +9.61% -3.69% +0.99% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:29:17 $8.82 +3.85% +4.54% +2.83% +8.79% -0.34% +9.86% -0.79% -0.79% WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:33 $9.5 -5.58% -3.47% -3.05% -4.21% -8.32% +0.74% +0.42% - LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:43 $9.16 +3.28% +5.39% +4.80% +5.13% +2.07% +7.70% -0.55% -0.55% WIN
2025-01-28 09:29:16 $8.08 -1.49% -2.88% +0.73% +5.45% +14.54% +15.59% -3.22% -0.25% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:49 $8.38 -3.04% -5.25% -3.10% -4.53% -3.94% +0.84% -0.68% -0.48% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:27:04 $8.51 +1.06% +2.50% +2.82% +10.67% +1.41% +15.51% -2.59% -1.18% WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:01 $8.74 +1.20% +4.74% +2.86% -2.06% -4.92% +9.95% -1.82% -0.34% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:42 $8.94 +1.53% +1.88% -1.10% +2.49% -2.13% +5.59% -2.35% -0.28% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:42 $8.66 -2.69% +1.73% +0.57% -1.85% -2.31% +2.66% -6.35% -1.15% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:55 $10.1 -4.55% -2.52% -4.27% -8.22% -15.30% +0.20% -0.59% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.6% Baseline on RCAT

The 56.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RCAT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RCAT Strategy →

Why Analyze RCAT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RCAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RCAT historically offers an average upside of +8.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RCAT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.6%, RCAT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RCAT performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.66%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.