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RDHL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 242 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-28 → 2024-08-26

🏢 Company Profile

Redhill Biopharma Ltd.
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 07, 2013 🔗 www.redhillbio.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.7M 👥 Employees: 35
Redhill Biopharma Ltd is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on gastrointestinal diseases. The company is dedicated to advancing its development pipeline of clinical-stage therapeutic candidates. It also commercializes GI-related products in the U.S., including Talicia (omeprazole, amoxicillin, and rifabutin) and Aemcolo (rifamycin). Currently, the company's pipeline consists of five therapeutic candidates: Opaganib, RHB-107, RHB-102, RHB-204, and RHB-104, the majority of which are in clinical development.
📊
242
Total Alerts
🎯
72.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+40741.60%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+6.13%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 32.0%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +13.04%
Worst: -10.48%
Trades: 77/148

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.1%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +2.01%
Avg Loser: -2.74%
Best: +14.38%
Worst: -18.23%
Trades: 72/158

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.8%
Avg Gain: -1.04%
Avg Winner: +4.30%
Avg Loser: -3.21%
Best: +76.92%
Worst: -23.26%
Trades: 67/168

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.79%
Avg Winner: +4.45%
Avg Loser: -3.95%
Best: +77.35%
Worst: -24.37%
Trades: 60/176

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 72.7%
Avg Gain: +40741.60%
Avg Winner: +56021.45%
Avg Loser: -4.89%
Best: +119268.05%
Worst: -17.34%
Trades: 176/63

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.13%
Best MFE: +138.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 100 min

On average, RDHL alerts reach +6.13% profit potential within 100 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.34%
Worst MAE: -19.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.62:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.62x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 242 alerts, RDHL typically reaches +6.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 242
Gap Up % 32.6%
Avg Gap -0.34%
Best Gap +9.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RDHL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-26 09:25:39 $9.57 -0.21% -4.91% -7.00% -6.32% -11.91% +0.94% +0.94% -2.09% LOSS
2024-08-19 09:29:07 $0.35 -10.26% -11.73% -8.80% -5.09% +2208.08% +2.07% -13.17% -3.65% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:25:14 $0.4 -4.08% -2.25% -3.86% -6.36% +2197.14% -1.95% -5.96% -2.33% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:28:57 $0.53 +0.45% -1.43% -4.22% -8.00% -14.76% +2.14% -0.49% -0.49% WIN
2024-08-07 09:25:45 $0.48 +0.02% -1.36% +0.52% +5.32% +2809.28% +16.79% -3.65% -0.60% WIN
2024-08-06 09:25:40 $0.48 -0.33% +0.50% +0.29% +6.33% +2346.75% +9.51% -2.81% -0.35% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:15 $0.52 +5.42% +3.07% +7.65% +10.94% -11.84% +17.55% -4.18% -1.28% WIN
2024-08-02 09:26:55 $0.66 -9.51% -10.92% -5.70% +6.49% -2.87% +16.47% -13.00% -2.94% LOSS
2024-08-01 09:27:49 $0.56 -3.02% +0.68% +15.84% -0.34% +3293.46% +44.85% -10.16% +1.59% LOSS
2024-07-23 09:27:03 $0.36 -2.02% -0.47% -2.38% +2.27% -1.66% +5.09% -0.80% +4.81% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $0.58 - - - - +2481.03% +3.43% -5.34% - -
2023-12-28 09:25:00 $1.42 -2.82% -2.11% -1.41% -2.11% +2488.03% +7.04% -3.52% -2.11% LOSS
2023-12-27 09:26:00 $1.55 - -2.58% -4.52% -7.10% +2125.81% +2.58% -0.65% - -
2023-12-26 09:25:00 $1.56 -1.92% -3.21% -4.49% +1.92% +2287.82% +3.85% -6.41% -0.64% LOSS
2023-12-22 09:26:00 $1.27 +0.79% +3.99% +7.92% +11.02% +15.75% +19.68% -1.57% +0.79% WIN
2023-12-21 09:28:00 $1.38 +1.41% -2.90% -2.17% -2.90% -7.25% +4.33% -1.45% +2.90% WIN
2023-12-20 09:27:00 $1.46 +3.49% +14.38% +9.59% +7.53% +2297.26% +19.18% -2.74% -1.37% WIN
2023-12-19 09:25:00 $1.24 -2.37% -3.63% -1.21% - +2561.29% +8.06% -4.84% -0.81% LOSS
2023-12-15 09:26:00 $1.2 -2.50% -5.00% -5.83% -6.67% +2275.00% -0.83% -2.50% -2.50% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:29:00 $1.22 +0.82% -0.71% -0.82% -6.69% -6.56% +3.28% - - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 72.7% Baseline on RDHL

The 72.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RDHL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RDHL Strategy →

Why Analyze RDHL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RDHL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RDHL historically offers an average upside of +6.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RDHL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 72.7%, RDHL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RDHL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +40741.60%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.