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RDZN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-09-21 → 2025-01-28

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Roadzen, Inc. Ordinary Shares INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE (SIC 6411)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 21, 2023 🔗 www.roadzen.io
💰 Market Cap: $149.8M 👥 Employees: 308
Roadzen Inc is an insurance technology company on a mission to transform auto insurance powered by AI. Its clients comprise insurers, fleets, and carmakers to small fleets, brokers, and insurance agents that use Roadzen's technology to build new products, sell insurance, process claims, and improve road safety. The company's work in telematics and computer vision has earned recognition as an AI innovator by publications such as Forbes, Fortune, and Financial Express.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-1.68%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+11.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -1.94%
Avg Winner: +4.25%
Avg Loser: -4.87%
Best: +7.91%
Worst: -12.48%
Trades: 3/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 18.2%
Avg Gain: -5.68%
Avg Winner: +4.17%
Avg Loser: -7.88%
Best: +4.96%
Worst: -23.75%
Trades: 2/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -2.25%
Avg Winner: +11.44%
Avg Loser: -10.07%
Best: +31.46%
Worst: -18.68%
Trades: 4/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.68%
Avg Winner: +7.05%
Avg Loser: -10.42%
Best: +17.62%
Worst: -20.20%
Trades: 5/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.34%
Avg Winner: +10.88%
Avg Loser: -8.19%
Best: +20.90%
Worst: -13.79%
Trades: 5/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.92%
Best MFE: +39.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 90 min

On average, RDZN alerts reach +11.92% profit potential within 90 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.31%
Worst MAE: -13.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.76:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.76x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, RDZN typically reaches +11.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 27.3%
Avg Gap -1.39%
Best Gap +0.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE

How RDZN compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RDZN: -0.79% Sector: +0.05% -0.84%
EOD Gain
RDZN: +1.79% Sector: +3236.33% -3234.55%
Avg MFE
RDZN: +14.55% Sector: +9.09% +5.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RDZN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:26:24 $1.58 -2.55% -1.90% +1.58% +3.48% +1.27% +6.33% -8.23% -6.33% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:25:01 $1.21 +3.49% +4.96% +5.37% +3.31% +3.31% +10.74% +0.74% +0.83% WIN
2024-12-06 09:28:56 $1.38 - -5.80% -2.90% +3.06% +15.94% +39.86% -9.42% - -
2024-07-03 09:29:01 $2.96 +1.35% -4.39% -7.43% -3.38% -7.09% +4.73% -0.34% +0.68% WIN
2024-07-02 09:27:50 $2.44 -8.67% -7.38% +31.46% +17.62% +20.90% +34.43% -13.93% -2.05% LOSS
2024-06-24 09:27:33 $1.77 +7.91% +3.39% +7.35% +7.80% +12.99% +32.20% -1.13% - WIN
2023-10-09 09:25:00 $4.57 -2.41% -5.13% -8.68% -11.16% -13.79% -1.97% -2.19% -2.19% LOSS
2023-10-02 09:27:00 $4.51 -1.77% -6.21% -7.54% - -2.66% -0.44% -7.54% -1.11% LOSS
2023-09-25 09:26:00 $5.63 -3.55% -7.37% -16.47% -6.93% -4.62% +4.44% - -3.91% LOSS
2023-09-22 09:26:00 $6.48 -2.65% -8.95% -8.80% -10.43% -12.81% +0.15% -2.65% -1.85% LOSS
2023-09-21 09:29:00 $12.42 -12.48% -23.75% -18.68% -20.20% - +0.64% -2.74% +0.64% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RDZN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.68% average gain, RDZN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RDZN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RDZN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RDZN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RDZN historically offers an average upside of +11.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RDZN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, RDZN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RDZN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RDZN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -1.68%). This suggests RDZN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.