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RENT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-10 → 2024-04-16

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Rent the Runway, Inc. Class A Common Stock RETAIL-RETAIL STORES, NEC (SIC 5990)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 27, 2021 🔗 www.renttherunway.com
💰 Market Cap: $258.4M 👥 Employees: 1,053
Rent the Runway Inc is an e-commerce platform that allows users to rent, subscribe to, or buy designer apparel and accessories. The company gives customers access to its unlimited closet through its subscription offering (Subscription) or the ability to rent a-la-carte through its reserve offering (Reserve). The company also gives its subscribers and customers the ability to buy its products through its Resale offering. The Closet in the Cloud offers a wide assortment of items for every occasion, from evening wear and accessories to ready-to-wear, workwear, denim, casual, maternity, outerwear, blouses, knitwear, loungewear, jewelry, handbags, activewear, and ski wear.
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
61.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+629.19%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+22.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -2.03%
Avg Winner: +2.31%
Avg Loser: -4.61%
Best: +4.12%
Worst: -13.73%
Trades: 5/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +1.38%
Avg Winner: +12.73%
Avg Loser: -7.70%
Best: +33.27%
Worst: -15.15%
Trades: 8/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.77%
Avg Winner: +13.74%
Avg Loser: -9.61%
Best: +55.61%
Worst: -20.19%
Trades: 8/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.9%
Avg Gain: +3.29%
Avg Winner: +24.66%
Avg Loser: -10.32%
Best: +100.30%
Worst: -29.29%
Trades: 7/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 61.1%
Avg Gain: +629.19%
Avg Winner: +1036.97%
Avg Loser: -11.62%
Best: +2938.46%
Worst: -32.42%
Trades: 11/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +22.35%
Best MFE: +143.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 83 min

On average, RENT alerts reach +22.35% profit potential within 83 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.64%
Worst MAE: -21.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, RENT typically reaches +22.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 17.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 27.8%
Avg Gap -1.06%
Best Gap +0.96%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-RETAIL STORES, NEC

How RENT compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RENT: -2.03% Sector: -0.35% -1.68%
EOD Gain
RENT: +660.55% Sector: +74.89% +585.67%
Avg MFE
RENT: +15.19% Sector: +5.14% +10.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RENT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-16 09:26:51 $14.87 +2.76% +11.25% +4.57% +2.56% -15.47% +18.96% -5.85% -4.84% WIN
2024-04-15 09:25:54 $21.78 -3.06% -15.15% -20.19% -29.29% -32.42% +2.80% -3.58% +0.96% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:25:21 $18.69 +4.12% +21.14% +25.20% +34.67% +2.89% +54.63% -3.69% +0.21% WIN
2024-04-11 09:27:36 $9.89 - +33.27% +55.61% +100.30% +95.96% +143.98% -1.11% -1.11% -
2023-12-06 09:27:00 $0.61 -13.73% -7.30% -7.30% -12.15% +2.16% +8.25% -21.94% -2.42% LOSS
2023-09-11 09:27:00 $0.96 -7.29% -6.88% -7.30% -6.57% -1.05% +2.07% -6.25% -3.12% LOSS
2023-09-08 09:25:00 $1.06 -0.47% -11.98% -16.04% -13.21% -7.54% +10.38% - +0.94% LOSS
2023-04-13 09:26:00 $3.1 - +6.77% -7.10% -8.43% -3.06% +11.61% -1.29% -0.32% -
2022-12-19 09:25:00 $3.42 -5.70% -9.94% -7.16% -10.20% +1508.19% - - -1.17% LOSS
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $3.49 -5.11% -2.62% -2.38% -4.01% -10.89% -0.86% -1.43% -2.58% LOSS
2022-12-13 09:25:00 $3.29 -2.28% -2.43% -10.34% -4.71% +1711.55% +1.22% -3.95% +0.91% LOSS
2022-12-12 09:25:00 $2.5 - +9.54% +7.80% +3.63% +23.20% +29.60% -2.00% -0.60% -
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $2.11 +1.66% -3.39% +1.72% -3.79% +22.27% +34.60% -8.53% -1.42% WIN
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $1.56 -1.92% +12.83% +7.80% +21.79% +2938.46% +60.26% -2.78% -2.56% LOSS
2022-11-18 09:25:00 $1.44 -5.83% -12.50% -10.14% -12.85% +1622.22% +0.69% +0.69% - LOSS
2022-09-14 09:25:00 $3.12 -0.69% -4.81% -8.17% -8.27% +1771.79% +0.64% -1.28% -0.64% LOSS
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $3.39 +2.36% +3.24% +1.03% +2.21% -10.91% +10.32% -0.59% +0.29% WIN
2022-06-10 09:25:00 $3.75 +0.67% +3.77% +6.18% +7.47% +1708.00% +13.07% -1.87% -1.60% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 61.1% Baseline on RENT

The 61.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RENT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RENT Strategy →

Why Analyze RENT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RENT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RENT historically offers an average upside of +22.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RENT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.1%, RENT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RENT performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +629.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.