Latest signal:
RILY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-26 → 2025-01-14
⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, RILY alerts reach +7.64% profit potential within 95 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.94%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, RILY typically reaches +7.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE
How RILY compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical RILY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-14 | 09:29:33 | $4.97 | -7.65% | -4.42% | -8.68% | -9.15% | -9.46% | - | -7.14% | -0.80% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-04 | 09:27:31 | $5.2 | -4.90% | -7.89% | -6.35% | -6.15% | -5.38% | +2.88% | -1.73% | -0.96% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-29 | 09:25:39 | $5.97 | +2.89% | +5.28% | +8.54% | +13.15% | +6.37% | +18.43% | -2.05% | -0.84% | WIN |
| 2024-10-15 | 09:27:57 | $5.31 | +0.94% | +0.28% | -0.19% | -0.94% | -6.78% | +5.06% | -3.39% | -0.56% | WIN |
| 2024-10-14 | 09:25:22 | $5.26 | +3.04% | -0.95% | +2.47% | +2.28% | +3.04% | +10.65% | -2.85% | -0.95% | WIN |
| 2024-09-09 | 09:27:53 | $5.52 | -1.27% | +4.71% | +13.41% | +11.41% | +7.43% | +17.75% | -3.44% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-22 | 09:27:18 | $7.72 | -4.73% | -3.76% | -5.42% | -11.40% | -21.24% | +0.39% | -2.46% | -1.94% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-19 | 09:28:22 | $5.37 | +1.12% | -3.72% | -8.95% | -4.69% | +2.61% | +4.28% | -10.24% | - | WIN |
| 2024-08-16 | 09:29:47 | $6.28 | +6.21% | +6.53% | +1.35% | +3.03% | -6.85% | +8.28% | -2.55% | -0.48% | WIN |
| 2024-08-13 | 09:25:43 | $7.4 | -1.22% | +3.78% | +6.62% | -0.81% | -2.43% | +9.32% | -6.89% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-12 | 09:26:41 | $8.94 | -5.59% | -4.92% | +1.01% | +0.22% | -8.84% | +10.51% | -2.57% | -1.34% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-25 | 09:27:39 | $28.47 | +0.39% | +2.18% | +0.26% | +4.21% | +21.85% | +22.94% | -1.97% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2024-04-24 | 09:29:58 | $30.71 | +10.73% | -1.47% | -3.09% | +1.32% | -3.13% | +13.97% | -4.62% | -0.33% | WIN |
| 2024-03-18 | 09:27:46 | $15.51 | +2.45% | +0.34% | -1.10% | -0.06% | +10.64% | +11.48% | -2.64% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2024-03-01 | 09:25:06 | $16.51 | -2.85% | -5.94% | -9.21% | -4.06% | +2.03% | +4.30% | -9.75% | -2.42% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-22 | 09:28:01 | $18.77 | -9.43% | -7.51% | -3.78% | -5.81% | -11.83% | +5.97% | -11.78% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-20 | 09:26:29 | $18.19 | -2.91% | -5.93% | -5.88% | -6.82% | -12.04% | -0.82% | -0.82% | -1.48% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-15 | 09:26:04 | $18.56 | +0.59% | +0.24% | +0.11% | -0.78% | -4.74% | +2.86% | +0.16% | +1.83% | WIN |
| 2023-11-08 | 09:27:00 | $31.8 | +3.65% | -7.14% | -0.72% | -6.45% | -3.87% | +5.31% | -0.16% | - | WIN |
| 2023-11-07 | 09:25:00 | $33.7 | -4.69% | +0.01% | +1.22% | +4.69% | +3.20% | +7.09% | -6.53% | -2.23% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ RILY Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.63% average gain, RILY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RILY for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze RILY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RILY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, RILY historically offers an average upside of +7.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 RILY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, RILY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RILY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: RILY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.63%). This suggests RILY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.