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RJF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2022-04-25

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 1983 🔗 www.raymondjames.com
💰 Market Cap: $33.38B 👥 Employees: 3,878
Raymond James Financial is a diversified financial services firm that provides wealth management, investment banking, asset management, and capital markets services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities. The firm maintains an extensive catalogue of products and services across its business lines. However, the wealth management franchise generates the bulk of its revenues and earnings through a vast network of nearly 8,800 independent and employee-affiliated advisors, who collectively manage over $1.7 trillion in client assets as of fiscal year-end 2025. While Raymond James maintains a global footprint, the company derives over 90% of its revenue, and an even larger percentage of its operating income, from the United States.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.82%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +1.24%
Worst: -0.88%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.82%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +1.63%
Worst: -0.24%
Trades: 4/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.76%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +1.69%
Worst: -0.77%
Trades: 4/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +2.02%
Worst: -0.19%
Trades: 4/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +1.40%
Worst: -1.01%
Trades: 2/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.92%
Best MFE: +2.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 196 min

On average, RJF alerts reach +1.92% profit potential within 196 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.21%
Worst MAE: -1.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 34 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

9.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 9.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, RJF typically reaches +1.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap +0.18%
Best Gap +1.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES

How RJF compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RJF: +0.25% Sector: -0.16% +0.40%
EOD Gain
RJF: +0.07% Sector: +0.18% -0.11%
Avg MFE
RJF: +1.92% Sector: +2.77% -0.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RJF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $102.89 -0.88% -0.24% -0.77% -0.19% +1.05% +1.24% -1.46% -0.66% LOSS
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $109.97 +0.86% +1.63% +1.53% +0.37% -0.45% +1.95% +0.86% +1.38% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $112.0 +1.24% +0.86% +1.69% +2.02% -0.64% +2.31% +0.43% +1.02% WIN
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $114.78 +0.23% +1.51% +1.04% +1.71% -1.01% +2.26% -0.34% -0.33% WIN
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $113.2 -0.21% +0.33% +0.31% +0.44% +1.40% +1.82% -0.52% -0.52% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on RJF

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RJF's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RJF Strategy →

Why Analyze RJF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RJF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RJF historically offers an average upside of +1.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RJF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, RJF shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RJF performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.82%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.