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RKDA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-12-06

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 15, 2015 🔗 www.arcadiabio.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.9M 👥 Employees: 9
Arcadia Biosciences Inc is a producer and marketer of plant-based food and beverage products. It is engaged in science-based approaches to developing high-value crop improvements in wheat, soy, and hemp, designed to enhance farm economics by improving the performance of crops in the field, as well as their value as food ingredients, health, and wellness products, and their viability for industrial applications. The company's consumer brands in the food, beverage, and body care categories include GoodWheat high-fiber pasta, Zola coconut water, and others.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1818.86%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+10.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.0%
Avg Gain: -1.22%
Avg Winner: +1.99%
Avg Loser: -3.23%
Best: +4.31%
Worst: -10.68%
Trades: 9/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +4.29%
Avg Loser: -4.99%
Best: +10.00%
Worst: -14.56%
Trades: 13/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.74%
Avg Winner: +6.45%
Avg Loser: -5.43%
Best: +14.52%
Worst: -11.52%
Trades: 12/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +6.79%
Avg Loser: -5.97%
Best: +17.74%
Worst: -12.84%
Trades: 11/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1818.86%
Avg Winner: +2428.23%
Avg Loser: -9.26%
Best: +5007.09%
Worst: -28.48%
Trades: 18/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.80%
Best MFE: +35.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, RKDA alerts reach +10.80% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.61%
Worst MAE: -16.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, RKDA typically reaches +10.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 32.0%
Avg Gap -0.37%
Best Gap +4.51%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How RKDA compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RKDA: -1.56% Sector: -0.16% -1.40%
EOD Gain
RKDA: +1805.85% Sector: +59.69% +1746.16%
Avg MFE
RKDA: +11.34% Sector: +2.88% +8.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RKDA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-06 09:28:08 $5.71 -10.68% -8.93% -5.43% -5.08% -3.15% +0.78% -12.43% -0.18% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:25:59 $7.62 -8.40% -14.56% -6.82% +0.66% -28.48% +35.30% -16.54% -7.09% LOSS
2023-07-17 09:25:00 $4.47 +0.67% +4.70% +8.31% +11.63% +5.82% +18.57% -1.34% -1.34% WIN
2023-02-27 09:26:00 $0.26 -0.58% +0.75% - -1.51% +3913.90% +2.93% -1.89% -1.85% LOSS
2022-11-02 09:25:00 $0.35 +2.59% +2.56% -1.94% +2.28% -2.28% +3.99% +2.56% +3.99% WIN
2022-08-15 09:25:00 $0.9 +4.31% +10.00% +8.91% - +10.00% +14.44% +2.11% +3.16% WIN
2022-05-18 09:25:00 $1.38 -7.61% -3.99% +5.07% -2.17% +3896.01% +5.07% -8.70% -7.97% LOSS
2022-05-17 09:25:00 $1.19 -0.83% +1.69% +0.03% -0.84% +8.40% +9.24% -7.56% +0.84% LOSS
2022-05-16 09:25:00 $1.09 -0.01% +8.12% +5.96% +7.34% +4519.24% +18.35% -1.83% -1.83% LOSS
2022-03-31 09:25:00 $1.51 +1.95% +0.17% -1.33% -4.63% -7.28% +3.31% -0.66% +0.66% WIN
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $1.91 -2.09% -3.40% -4.66% -5.24% +1.05% +4.19% -7.85% -0.52% LOSS
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $2.17 -0.92% -2.38% -6.43% -11.95% -10.60% +1.38% -1.84% -0.46% LOSS
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $2.69 -8.18% -9.29% -11.52% -12.27% +3138.40% - -2.97% -2.60% LOSS
2022-03-24 09:25:00 $2.05 -1.07% +3.41% +4.88% +1.46% +5007.09% +31.22% -2.44% -2.44% LOSS
2022-03-17 09:25:00 $1.39 -1.44% +3.60% +4.46% +10.06% +6.47% +12.95% -1.44% +1.44% LOSS
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $1.39 -2.81% - +4.31% +5.76% +2.16% +9.35% -5.04% - LOSS
2022-03-15 09:25:00 $1.6 -2.51% -2.83% -6.88% -10.62% +3621.28% +0.62% - - LOSS
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $1.57 -0.83% -5.02% -7.01% - +3819.65% +7.64% -9.55% -0.64% LOSS
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $1.3 +1.92% +9.23% +7.69% +9.23% +13.85% +23.08% -0.77% - WIN
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $1.37 - -2.24% - -3.65% +3370.98% +3.60% -4.38% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on RKDA

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RKDA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RKDA Strategy →

Why Analyze RKDA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RKDA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RKDA historically offers an average upside of +10.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RKDA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, RKDA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RKDA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1818.86%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.