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RLAY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-12 → 2024-12-11

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 16, 2020 🔗 www.relaytx.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.29B 👥 Employees: 197
Relay Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage precision medicine company transforming the drug discovery process by combining leading-edge computational and experimental technologies with the goal of bringing life-changing therapies to patients. the Dynamo platform integrates an array of leading-edge computational and experimental approaches designed to drug-protein targets that have previously been intractable or inadequately addressed. The company is advancing a pipeline of medicine candidates to address targets in precision oncology and genetic disease, including product candidates, RLY-4008, RLY-2608, and GDC-1971 (formerly known as RLY-1971).
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+3.28%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+8.40%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +2.78%
Worst: -2.37%
Trades: 4/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +7.81%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: +11.94%
Worst: -4.25%
Trades: 2/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +0.85%
Avg Winner: +10.56%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +11.28%
Worst: -4.51%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: +1.66%
Avg Winner: +8.44%
Avg Loser: -2.40%
Best: +14.05%
Worst: -3.89%
Trades: 3/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.28%
Avg Winner: +6.57%
Avg Loser: -6.59%
Best: +18.28%
Worst: -8.00%
Trades: 6/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.40%
Best MFE: +33.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 215 min

On average, RLAY alerts reach +8.40% profit potential within 215 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.75%
Worst MAE: -7.79%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.75%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.05:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.05x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, RLAY typically reaches +8.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +1.54%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How RLAY compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RLAY: +0.17% Sector: -0.41% +0.59%
EOD Gain
RLAY: +3.28% Sector: +1233.50% -1230.22%
Avg MFE
RLAY: +8.40% Sector: +6.69% +1.71%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RLAY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-11 09:27:55 $4.88 -0.82% -3.28% -4.51% -3.89% +2.05% +3.48% -7.79% +0.41% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:29:34 $4.63 -0.22% -1.51% -3.24% -1.40% -5.18% +0.86% -0.65% -0.65% LOSS
2024-09-11 09:29:22 $6.81 +2.78% +3.67% +9.84% +10.94% +13.88% +15.57% -1.62% -0.15% WIN
2024-09-09 09:28:08 $8.04 +0.12% +11.94% +11.28% +14.05% +18.28% +33.33% -2.86% +0.12% WIN
2023-11-01 09:29:00 $6.6 -0.76% -1.06% -0.76% -0.38% +3.48% +3.79% -1.82% -0.45% LOSS
2023-04-19 09:25:00 $12.24 +0.90% -2.00% -2.70% +0.33% +0.90% +6.66% -3.59% -0.08% WIN
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $26.12 -2.37% -4.25% -1.67% -3.89% -8.00% +1.26% -0.34% -1.15% LOSS
2022-09-12 09:25:00 $28.56 +1.75% -1.61% -1.44% -2.45% +0.84% +2.21% -3.36% +1.54% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on RLAY

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RLAY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RLAY Strategy →

Why Analyze RLAY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RLAY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RLAY historically offers an average upside of +8.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RLAY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, RLAY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RLAY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.