FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

RLX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 276 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

RLX Technology Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing the right to receive one (1) Class A ordinary share
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 22, 2021 🔗 www.relxtech.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.88B 👥 Employees: 381
RLX Technology Inc is engaged in the manufacturing of e-vapor products for adult smokers. It has an integrated offline distribution and "Branded store plus" retail model tailored to China's e-vapor market.
📊
276
Total Alerts
🎯
44.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.14%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.51%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.3%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.56%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +6.98%
Worst: -6.98%
Trades: 103/150

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +10.50%
Worst: -12.90%
Trades: 115/154

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.3%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +3.43%
Avg Loser: -3.01%
Best: +15.66%
Worst: -25.00%
Trades: 114/157

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.3%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +4.24%
Avg Loser: -3.56%
Best: +16.94%
Worst: -26.50%
Trades: 114/153

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +5.01%
Avg Loser: -4.54%
Best: +41.32%
Worst: -25.50%
Trades: 122/143

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.51%
Best MFE: +53.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 74 min

On average, RLX alerts reach +4.51% profit potential within 74 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.71%
Worst MAE: -12.50%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 276 alerts, RLX typically reaches +4.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 276
Gap Up % 32.6%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +2.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RLX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:47 $2.47 -2.23% -3.85% -3.24% -6.07% -5.26% - - -0.81% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:48 $2.41 -0.62% -0.62% -0.62% +4.77% +1.66% +7.88% -1.24% -0.41% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:15 $2.35 +1.70% +2.34% +4.47% +1.91% +2.13% +5.11% -1.06% -0.85% WIN
2025-01-03 09:26:29 $2.32 -3.66% -4.31% -4.74% -5.17% -5.17% -0.43% -0.43% -0.43% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:27:37 $2.17 -1.15% -1.15% -0.46% -1.38% +0.46% +0.92% -1.84% -0.92% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:27:09 $1.96 - -0.26% -0.26% - - +1.02% -1.02% -0.51% -
2024-11-15 09:27:13 $1.74 -2.01% -4.60% -3.74% -3.74% -2.87% +0.57% - +0.57% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:29:47 $1.66 +0.30% +0.30% +0.30% +0.30% -1.81% +1.81% -0.30% +0.60% WIN
2024-10-08 09:28:49 $1.76 +2.27% +2.56% +1.70% +4.55% +6.82% +7.10% -1.14% -0.57% WIN
2024-10-07 09:28:03 $1.86 -2.42% +0.27% +2.65% -0.27% +0.54% +3.76% -3.23% -0.54% LOSS
2024-10-04 09:26:53 $1.96 -3.10% -6.89% -5.71% -7.65% -10.20% - -0.51% -1.02% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:25:18 $1.77 +0.56% +1.69% +2.54% +3.88% +6.78% +9.04% -1.13% +0.56% WIN
2024-10-02 09:27:11 $1.89 -3.97% -5.40% -4.76% -5.29% -5.29% - -0.53% -0.53% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:28:42 $1.9 -2.37% -3.68% -3.95% -3.95% -4.74% -0.53% -0.53% -2.11% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:25:54 $1.82 +0.27% +1.75% +3.02% +2.47% +2.75% +4.40% -1.10% +1.10% WIN
2024-08-16 09:25:38 $1.62 -1.54% - +0.62% +0.16% -0.62% +1.23% -1.85% +0.62% LOSS
2023-12-29 09:25:00 $1.97 -0.51% +2.79% +0.76% -0.51% +1.52% +3.55% -0.76% +0.51% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:28:00 $2.04 -2.45% -1.96% -3.19% -2.45% -5.88% - - - LOSS
2023-12-27 09:25:00 $1.92 -0.03% -0.78% +1.30% +0.78% +3.12% +4.17% -1.04% - LOSS
2023-12-22 09:27:00 $1.93 -1.30% +0.26% -0.26% +1.04% +1.04% +1.55% -1.55% -0.52% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RLX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.2% win rate and -0.14% average gain, RLX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RLX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RLX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RLX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RLX historically offers an average upside of +4.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RLX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.2%, RLX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RLX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RLX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.14%). This suggests RLX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.