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ROL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 23 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-15 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (23 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 12, 1968 🔗 www.rollins.com
💰 Market Cap: $30.27B 👥 Employees: 20,265
Rollins is a global leader in route-based pest control services, with operations primarily in the United States and across North, Central, and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Australia. Its portfolio of pest-control brands includes the prominent Orkin brand, a market leader in the US, which boasts near national coverage, and in Canada. They also have a litany of other brands, which they use to pursue customers via alternative sales channels. Residential pest and termite prevention dominates the services provided by Rollins, owing to the group's ongoing focus on the US and Canadian markets.
📊
23
Total Alerts
🎯
65.2%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.15%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.22%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +1.39%
Worst: -1.67%
Trades: 13/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.9%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +2.08%
Worst: -2.86%
Trades: 14/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 65.2%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +2.59%
Worst: -1.78%
Trades: 15/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.9%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +2.47%
Worst: -3.13%
Trades: 14/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.9%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +3.03%
Worst: -3.77%
Trades: 14/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.22%
Best MFE: +4.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 122 min

On average, ROL alerts reach +1.22% profit potential within 122 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.26%
Worst MAE: -3.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.74:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.74x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, ROL typically reaches +1.22% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 23
Gap Up % 60.9%
Avg Gap +0.24%
Best Gap +1.24%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS

How ROL compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ROL: +0.05% Sector: +0.26% -0.21%
EOD Gain
ROL: +0.20% Sector: +0.12% +0.09%
Avg MFE
ROL: +1.22% Sector: +2.48% -1.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ROL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:53 $52.19 -1.67% -0.80% -1.46% -1.99% -2.80% -0.08% -0.56% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:25:53 $45.75 +0.13% -0.17% -0.04% +0.08% +1.31% +1.53% -0.44% +0.33% WIN
2024-12-02 09:28:17 $50.33 -0.30% -1.19% -1.56% -1.07% -0.93% - -0.14% -0.12% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:26:26 $51.23 -0.08% +0.47% +0.36% +0.21% +0.70% +1.09% +1.09% +0.55% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:25:37 $50.11 -0.14% -0.09% -0.57% -0.42% -0.40% +0.22% -0.18% +0.22% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:26:35 $47.0 +0.68% +0.38% +0.44% +0.11% +0.70% +1.32% -0.04% +0.53% WIN
2024-09-09 09:27:21 $49.59 +0.42% +0.26% +0.10% +0.05% +0.14% +0.73% +0.73% +0.73% WIN
2024-08-14 09:27:03 $48.48 -0.12% -0.01% +0.14% +0.23% +0.04% +0.33% -0.27% -0.23% LOSS
2024-08-07 09:25:56 $47.85 +0.25% +1.24% +1.02% +0.52% -0.96% +1.43% +0.23% +0.61% WIN
2024-08-06 09:27:58 $47.63 +0.25% +0.34% +0.90% +1.36% +0.46% +1.93% -0.13% +0.21% WIN
2024-06-21 09:26:02 $49.35 +0.11% -0.10% +0.26% +0.14% - +0.64% -0.39% - WIN
2024-02-13 09:29:15 $43.57 -0.20% +0.05% -0.07% -0.06% +0.64% +0.99% -0.55% -0.25% LOSS
2023-11-02 09:26:00 $36.91 +1.14% +0.62% +1.19% +2.47% +2.11% +2.66% +0.41% +1.06% WIN
2023-10-19 09:25:00 $34.21 -1.67% -2.86% -1.78% -3.13% -3.77% -0.06% -3.27% -0.73% LOSS
2023-10-05 09:25:00 $35.56 +1.39% +2.08% +2.59% +2.28% +0.84% +2.59% +1.11% +1.24% WIN
2023-10-04 09:28:00 $35.2 +0.34% +0.17% +0.26% -0.53% +2.16% +2.24% -0.77% -0.03% WIN
2023-09-07 09:26:00 $34.67 +0.78% +0.97% +0.49% +1.01% +3.03% +4.12% +0.09% +0.63% WIN
2023-08-02 09:25:00 $40.5 +0.36% +0.02% +0.42% +1.14% +1.98% +2.44% -0.25% +0.32% WIN
2023-06-20 09:28:00 $41.09 -0.39% -0.29% -0.07% -0.33% -0.44% +0.15% -0.96% -0.22% LOSS
2023-04-12 09:28:00 $38.7 +0.18% +0.65% +0.65% +0.54% +1.21% +1.30% -0.08% +0.31% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 65.2% Baseline on ROL

The 65.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ROL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ROL Strategy →

Why Analyze ROL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ROL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ROL historically offers an average upside of +1.22% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ROL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 65.2%, ROL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ROL performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.