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ROST Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 52 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-09 → 2025-02-06
⚠️ Small sample size (52 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ROST alerts reach +1.30% profit potential within 158 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.47%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.78x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, ROST typically reaches +1.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES
How ROST compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ROST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:49 | $148.2 | +0.14% | +0.27% | +0.28% | -0.24% | -2.15% | +0.48% | -0.26% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-12-12 | 09:29:13 | $153.25 | +0.39% | +0.54% | +0.48% | +0.17% | +0.41% | +0.93% | -0.07% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-12-05 | 09:29:25 | $154.5 | +0.68% | +0.58% | +1.05% | +0.94% | +1.37% | +1.66% | -0.17% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-11-11 | 09:29:22 | $143.78 | +0.03% | +0.31% | +0.15% | -0.53% | -0.99% | +0.46% | -0.09% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2024-10-10 | 09:25:56 | $142.07 | -0.56% | -1.34% | -1.25% | -1.15% | -0.73% | -0.04% | -1.77% | -0.66% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-09 | 09:29:15 | $141.07 | +0.11% | -0.17% | -0.50% | -0.32% | +0.94% | +1.07% | -0.89% | +0.66% | WIN |
| 2024-09-24 | 09:27:03 | $150.29 | -0.16% | +0.08% | -0.03% | +0.37% | +1.32% | +1.34% | -0.33% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-23 | 09:29:38 | $154.67 | -0.22% | -1.19% | -1.22% | -1.43% | -3.03% | +0.04% | -0.16% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-04 | 09:26:21 | $151.79 | -0.23% | -0.57% | -0.41% | -0.51% | -0.02% | +0.12% | -1.13% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-23 | 09:26:43 | $145.02 | -0.21% | +0.08% | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.86% | +0.17% | -0.28% | -0.07% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-14 | 09:29:41 | $145.75 | +0.06% | +0.42% | +0.20% | +0.18% | +0.12% | +0.60% | -0.09% | -0.07% | WIN |
| 2024-06-05 | 09:29:53 | $141.08 | -0.31% | -0.42% | -0.24% | +0.45% | +2.31% | +2.42% | -0.65% | +0.17% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-09 | 09:25:16 | $132.76 | +0.22% | +0.34% | +0.90% | +1.23% | +1.59% | +1.72% | +0.12% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2024-03-21 | 09:26:01 | $146.89 | +0.37% | +0.61% | +0.73% | +0.80% | +0.20% | +1.30% | +0.27% | +0.44% | WIN |
| 2024-03-19 | 09:26:22 | $145.5 | -0.82% | -0.38% | -0.21% | +0.11% | +0.64% | +0.71% | -0.92% | -0.81% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:27:50 | $146.06 | -0.13% | +0.14% | +0.49% | -0.09% | -0.22% | +0.77% | -0.31% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-07 | 09:27:36 | $148.56 | +0.60% | +0.08% | -0.31% | -0.34% | -1.71% | +0.97% | +0.56% | +0.63% | WIN |
| 2024-02-05 | 09:29:38 | $142.44 | -0.34% | -0.31% | -0.37% | -0.46% | +0.22% | +0.44% | -0.69% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-01 | 00:00:00 | $140.27 | - | - | - | - | +2.02% | +2.06% | +0.36% | +0.38% | - |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $130.01 | +0.18% | -0.00% | +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.62% | +0.33% | -0.47% | +0.23% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ROST Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 53.8% win rate, ROST has -0.06% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ROST profitable.
🔧 Fix ROST Risk/Reward →Why Analyze ROST with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ROST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ROST historically offers an average upside of +1.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ROST Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, ROST shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.64%) outweigh average wins (+1.29%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ROST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.06%). This suggests ROST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.