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TJX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 93 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-04

⚠️ Small sample size (93 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

TJX Companies, Inc. (The) RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES (SIC 5651)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 17, 1965 🔗 www.tjx.com
💰 Market Cap: $170.17B 👥 Employees: 364,000
TJX Companies is the leading off-price retailer of apparel, accessories, and home merchandise in the United States. The firm leverages its more than 21,000 global vendor relationships to procure and sell branded merchandise at prices 20%-60% cheaper than conventional retail channels. TJX opportunistically purchases excess inventory that stems from manufacturing overruns and retail closeout sales. The retailer disperses its vast and disparate merchandise across its nearly 5,200 global stores, creating a treasure-hunt shopping experience for consumers. Over three quarters of TJX's sales are derived from the United States, primarily via the T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods banners. About 10% of sales come from Canada and 12% from Europe and Australia.
📊
93
Total Alerts
🎯
55.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.28%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.33%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +1.85%
Worst: -1.73%
Trades: 39/54

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +3.37%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 45/47

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +3.12%
Worst: -2.00%
Trades: 49/43

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +4.26%
Worst: -2.11%
Trades: 49/44

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.9%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +7.64%
Worst: -3.43%
Trades: 52/41

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.33%
Best MFE: +9.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, TJX alerts reach +1.33% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -3.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.37:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.37x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 93 alerts, TJX typically reaches +1.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 93
Gap Up % 41.9%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +1.59%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES

How TJX compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TJX: -0.01% Sector: +0.15% -0.16%
EOD Gain
TJX: +0.28% Sector: +0.90% -0.62%
Avg MFE
TJX: +1.33% Sector: +3.72% -2.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TJX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-04 09:25:30 $125.29 -0.71% -0.06% -0.18% -0.36% -0.12% +0.08% -1.46% -0.78% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:25:55 $124.2 +0.02% +0.33% +0.32% -0.02% -0.21% +0.45% -0.34% -0.23% WIN
2024-12-23 09:26:52 $120.99 +0.45% +0.57% +0.05% -0.34% +0.64% +0.94% +0.45% +0.45% WIN
2024-12-12 09:25:18 $127.25 -0.36% -0.75% -0.80% -0.89% -0.65% -0.16% -0.39% -0.24% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:29:53 $119.37 -0.65% -1.06% -1.45% -1.44% +0.31% +1.11% -0.33% +0.06% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:08 $117.39 -1.41% -1.16% -1.43% -1.61% -1.50% -0.37% -1.23% -1.06% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:28:43 $117.5 -0.48% -1.34% -1.83% -1.83% -1.57% +0.10% -0.09% +0.05% LOSS
2024-09-03 09:28:22 $116.66 +1.13% +1.02% +0.65% +0.78% +0.75% +1.35% +0.44% +1.03% WIN
2024-08-28 09:26:04 $120.06 +0.52% +0.34% +0.39% +0.49% -0.65% +0.89% +0.01% +0.37% WIN
2024-08-27 09:28:16 $119.11 +0.13% +0.53% +0.55% +0.61% +0.80% +1.19% -0.09% +0.32% WIN
2024-08-22 09:26:13 $119.44 +0.22% +0.33% +0.78% +1.02% -0.37% +1.36% -0.35% -0.35% WIN
2024-08-21 09:28:13 $119.68 -1.28% -0.23% -0.06% +0.17% +0.46% +1.01% -1.48% +0.18% LOSS
2024-08-20 09:29:51 $113.0 -0.12% +0.06% -0.09% -0.35% +0.27% +0.43% -0.57% +0.04% LOSS
2024-08-19 09:26:19 $112.0 +0.45% +0.06% -0.11% +0.03% +0.44% +0.62% -0.17% -0.12% WIN
2024-08-09 09:29:35 $109.85 -0.25% - -0.03% +0.49% +0.77% +1.05% -0.34% -0.15% LOSS
2024-07-30 09:26:22 $112.92 -0.04% +0.07% +0.02% +0.10% +0.28% +0.39% -0.24% -0.14% LOSS
2024-07-22 09:25:57 $112.43 -0.14% +0.47% +0.41% +0.52% +0.69% +1.03% -0.30% -0.12% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:26:53 $113.95 -0.82% -0.54% -0.72% -0.68% -1.93% -0.38% -0.94% -0.43% LOSS
2024-07-02 09:28:01 $110.01 +0.47% +0.39% +0.21% +0.59% +0.17% +0.81% +0.32% +0.32% WIN
2024-06-07 09:26:54 $107.0 +0.79% +1.03% +1.46% +0.71% +0.41% +1.48% +0.11% +0.37% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.9% Baseline on TJX

The 55.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TJX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TJX Strategy →

Why Analyze TJX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TJX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TJX historically offers an average upside of +1.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TJX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.9%, TJX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TJX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.