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RPD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-20 → 2024-10-16

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 17, 2015 🔗 www.rapid7.com
💰 Market Cap: $832.3M 👥 Employees: 2,413
Founded in 2000, Rapid7 is a cybersecurity company that began providing vulnerability management solutions. It has, however, expanded its portfolio to provide extended detection and response; security information and event management; cloud security, threat intelligence, and application security; and security orchestration, automation, and response. The Boston-based company went public in 2015.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.88%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +2.22%
Avg Loser: -1.58%
Best: +7.62%
Worst: -2.92%
Trades: 4/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.88%
Avg Winner: +3.11%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +11.68%
Worst: -2.21%
Trades: 6/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +2.93%
Avg Loser: -2.72%
Best: +8.12%
Worst: -4.44%
Trades: 5/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.46%
Avg Winner: +3.02%
Avg Loser: -3.20%
Best: +6.43%
Worst: -3.87%
Trades: 6/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.96%
Avg Winner: +3.92%
Avg Loser: -3.91%
Best: +9.27%
Worst: -4.16%
Trades: 6/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.07%
Best MFE: +12.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, RPD alerts reach +6.07% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.99%
Worst MAE: -2.98%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.99%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, RPD typically reaches +6.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 75.0%
Avg Gap +0.87%
Best Gap +4.24%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How RPD compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RPD: +0.52% Sector: -0.09% +0.61%
EOD Gain
RPD: +1.96% Sector: +73.64% -71.68%
Avg MFE
RPD: +6.07% Sector: +4.32% +1.75%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RPD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-16 09:26:48 $41.69 -0.91% -2.21% -2.90% -2.53% -3.67% -0.17% -0.41% -0.24% LOSS
2024-02-08 09:25:23 $53.75 - +1.23% +2.40% +2.57% +9.27% +9.38% -1.36% +0.04% -
2023-09-06 09:25:00 $48.94 +0.61% +1.02% +1.01% +0.78% +0.12% +1.96% - +1.14% WIN
2023-05-26 09:28:00 $47.0 +0.43% +0.62% +1.87% +2.43% +3.94% +7.34% -0.30% -0.30% WIN
2023-02-09 09:25:00 $49.49 +7.62% +11.68% +8.12% +6.43% +3.11% +12.37% -1.01% +4.24% WIN
2022-11-11 09:25:00 $29.75 -0.91% -1.41% -0.81% +3.40% +5.48% +8.20% -1.95% +0.81% LOSS
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $31.5 -2.92% +2.11% -4.44% -3.87% -4.16% +6.12% -2.98% +1.14% LOSS
2022-07-20 09:25:00 $70.69 +0.24% +2.02% +1.24% +2.52% +1.58% +3.38% +0.13% +0.13% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on RPD

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RPD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RPD Strategy →

Why Analyze RPD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RPD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RPD historically offers an average upside of +6.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RPD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, RPD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RPD performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.88%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.