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RPID Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-30 → 2025-01-15

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. Class A Common Stock LABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS (SIC 3826)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 15, 2021 🔗 www.rapidmicrobio.com
💰 Market Cap: $182.6M 👥 Employees: 163
Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc is an life sciences technology company providing mission critical automation solutions to facilitate the efficient manufacturing and fast, safe release of healthcare products such as biologics, vaccines, cell and gene therapies, and sterile injectables. The company's flagship Growth Direct platform automates and modernizes the antiquated, manual microbial quality control (MQC) testing workflows used in the pharmaceutical manufacturing operations across the globe. It derives revenue from development, manufacturing, marketing and selling Systems and related LIMS connection software, consumables and services.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.78%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +0.46%
Worst: -2.02%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.83%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.83%
Best: -1.63%
Worst: -2.04%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.03%
Best: -2.95%
Worst: -3.11%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.54%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: -0.91%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +2.85%
Worst: -2.27%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.77%
Best MFE: +8.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, RPID alerts reach +7.77% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.69%
Worst MAE: -5.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.37:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, RPID typically reaches +7.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +2.88%
Best Gap +3.25%

🏭 Sector Comparison: LABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS

How RPID compares to 17 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RPID: -0.78% Sector: -0.56% -0.22%
EOD Gain
RPID: +0.29% Sector: +21808.61% -21808.32%
Avg MFE
RPID: +7.77% Sector: +3.87% +3.90%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RPID alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-15 09:25:44 $1.23 -2.02% -1.63% -3.11% -2.16% +2.85% +8.94% -5.69% +3.25% LOSS
2022-06-30 09:25:00 $4.4 +0.46% -2.04% -2.95% -0.91% -2.27% +6.59% -5.68% +2.50% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RPID Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.78% average gain, RPID alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RPID for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RPID with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RPID. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RPID historically offers an average upside of +7.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RPID Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, RPID shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RPID may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RPID shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.78%). This suggests RPID is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.