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Latest signal:

RSG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 30 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-04 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (30 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Republic Services Inc. REFUSE SYSTEMS (SIC 4953)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 1998 🔗 www.republicservices.com
💰 Market Cap: $67.36B 👥 Employees: 42,000
Republic Services is the second-largest integrated provider of traditional solid waste services in the United States, operating roughly 208 active landfills and 248 transfer stations. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial end markets. It also runs sizable recycling and hazardous waste collection and disposal operations in North America.
📊
30
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.34%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.02%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +6.43%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 13/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +6.92%
Worst: -1.51%
Trades: 15/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +7.10%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 15/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +7.40%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 15/15

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +6.70%
Worst: -2.38%
Trades: 18/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.02%
Best MFE: +8.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, RSG alerts reach +1.02% profit potential within 160 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.24%
Worst MAE: -1.40%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 30 alerts, RSG typically reaches +1.02% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 30
Gap Up % 36.7%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +6.15%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REFUSE SYSTEMS

How RSG compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RSG: +0.12% Sector: +0.04% +0.08%
EOD Gain
RSG: +0.34% Sector: +0.13% +0.21%
Avg MFE
RSG: +1.02% Sector: +0.92% +0.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RSG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:29:16 $221.0 -0.27% -0.41% -0.61% -0.34% +0.26% +0.31% -0.71% -0.34% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:25:45 $206.78 -0.30% -0.54% -0.45% -0.14% -1.61% +0.01% -0.60% -0.41% LOSS
2024-10-07 09:29:11 $200.03 -0.78% -0.46% -0.50% -0.29% -0.71% -0.05% -0.92% -0.28% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:29:46 $203.32 -0.31% -0.66% -0.51% -0.64% +0.02% +0.09% -0.83% -0.57% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:29:24 $184.35 +6.43% +6.92% +7.10% +7.40% +6.70% +8.22% +5.97% +6.15% WIN
2024-07-08 09:26:40 $195.17 -0.05% +0.32% +0.33% +0.22% +0.06% +0.49% -0.13% -0.01% LOSS
2024-07-05 09:28:11 $193.54 -0.13% -0.26% -0.34% -0.50% +0.70% +0.81% -0.57% +0.24% LOSS
2024-06-04 09:27:15 $185.32 -0.42% +0.02% +0.28% +0.73% +1.10% +1.13% -0.44% -0.03% LOSS
2024-03-20 09:28:19 $188.89 -0.63% -0.38% -0.29% -0.41% -0.58% -0.12% -0.77% -0.20% LOSS
2023-12-18 09:26:00 $162.08 +0.56% +0.63% +0.74% +0.93% +0.92% +1.53% +0.35% +0.49% WIN
2023-09-25 09:29:00 $146.36 +0.07% -0.30% -0.12% -0.30% -0.01% +0.46% -0.34% -0.14% WIN
2023-07-28 09:29:00 $152.34 -0.14% -0.02% +0.15% +0.22% -0.55% +0.47% -0.26% +0.14% LOSS
2023-07-21 09:29:00 $154.52 +0.33% +0.51% +0.50% +0.48% +0.28% +0.92% - +0.05% WIN
2023-03-28 09:29:00 $130.48 +0.34% +0.99% +0.88% +0.71% +0.64% +1.13% -0.11% - WIN
2023-03-27 09:28:00 $131.25 +0.82% +1.12% +1.33% +0.62% -0.58% +1.44% +0.14% +0.38% WIN
2023-02-22 09:27:00 $130.35 +0.48% -0.00% -0.27% -0.27% -0.85% +0.80% +0.31% +0.48% WIN
2023-02-16 09:26:00 $128.6 +0.65% +1.11% -0.39% +0.05% +1.08% +2.06% -1.40% -0.24% WIN
2023-02-15 09:29:00 $125.37 -0.69% -0.49% -0.53% -0.16% +0.35% +0.68% -0.88% -0.69% LOSS
2023-02-10 09:25:00 $125.44 +0.17% +0.55% +0.76% +0.81% +1.53% +1.66% +0.07% +0.19% WIN
2023-02-08 09:28:00 $125.18 -0.95% -0.97% -0.66% -0.82% -0.61% -0.29% -1.25% -1.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on RSG

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RSG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RSG Strategy →

Why Analyze RSG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RSG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RSG historically offers an average upside of +1.02% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RSG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, RSG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RSG performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.