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RTX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 49 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (49 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 25, 1951 🔗 www.rtx.com
💰 Market Cap: $262.70B 👥 Employees: 186,000
RTX is an aerospace and defense manufacturer formed from the merger of United Technologies and Raytheon, with roughly equal exposure across three segments, mostly as a supplier to commercial aerospace and to the defense market: Collins Aerospace, a diversified aerospace supplier; Pratt & Whitney, a commercial and military aircraft engine manufacturer; and Raytheon, a defense prime contractor providing a mix of missiles, missile defense systems, sensors, hardware, and communications technology to the military.
📊
49
Total Alerts
🎯
40.8%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.07%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.8%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +7.93%
Worst: -2.51%
Trades: 20/29

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.8%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +2.04%
Worst: -3.72%
Trades: 20/29

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.7%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +3.08%
Worst: -6.01%
Trades: 18/31

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.51%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +4.61%
Worst: -5.33%
Trades: 14/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.7%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +5.16%
Worst: -3.97%
Trades: 18/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.26%
Best MFE: +13.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 146 min

On average, RTX alerts reach +1.26% profit potential within 146 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -4.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 49 alerts, RTX typically reaches +1.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 49
Gap Up % 46.9%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +3.20%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT ENGINES & ENGINE PARTS

How RTX compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RTX: -0.07% Sector: -0.02% -0.05%
EOD Gain
RTX: -0.04% Sector: -0.21% +0.16%
Avg MFE
RTX: +1.26% Sector: +1.26% -0.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RTX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:28 $125.84 -0.65% -0.76% -1.54% -1.74% -2.73% -0.06% -0.08% -0.31% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:25 $126.96 +0.16% -0.36% -0.68% -0.61% -0.88% +0.54% -1.03% +0.46% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:58 $131.15 -0.18% -0.58% -3.30% -1.06% -2.13% +0.98% -1.62% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:02 $123.45 +0.13% +0.15% +0.33% +0.66% +1.86% +1.91% -0.77% -0.58% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:05 $114.5 +0.46% +1.99% +1.93% +2.55% +2.83% +3.00% +0.07% +0.07% WIN
2024-12-06 09:29:20 $118.47 -0.38% -0.24% -0.57% -0.60% -0.41% -0.10% -0.82% -0.38% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:25:21 $120.34 +0.57% +0.82% +0.49% +0.42% +1.24% +1.27% +0.26% +0.28% WIN
2024-11-25 09:25:32 $120.05 -0.07% -0.18% +0.11% -0.03% -1.17% +0.79% -0.15% +0.26% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:29:21 $121.87 -0.79% -0.93% -1.10% -0.90% -2.56% -0.21% -0.83% -0.30% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:29:42 $127.8 -0.28% -1.57% -1.15% -2.54% -1.78% +0.70% -0.20% +0.15% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:28:41 $101.22 -0.38% -0.79% -0.82% -0.59% -0.20% +0.66% +0.13% +0.49% LOSS
2024-04-23 09:26:51 $100.55 +0.36% +0.68% +3.08% +1.65% +0.83% +3.32% -0.67% +0.45% WIN
2023-12-12 09:28:00 $81.2 -0.25% -0.04% +0.01% -0.06% -0.20% +0.46% -0.36% +0.01% LOSS
2023-10-24 09:27:00 $79.0 -0.38% -1.41% -1.16% -1.78% -0.78% +0.51% -0.06% -0.32% LOSS
2023-10-19 09:28:00 $74.43 -0.62% +0.27% -0.13% -0.42% -0.73% +0.56% -0.67% -0.60% LOSS
2023-10-11 09:25:00 $73.39 -0.48% -0.63% -0.53% -0.62% -0.11% +0.07% -0.05% -0.08% LOSS
2023-10-10 09:29:00 $73.82 -0.60% -1.47% -1.19% -1.15% -0.64% -0.07% -0.53% -0.49% LOSS
2023-10-09 09:27:00 $73.28 -1.04% -0.92% -1.00% -1.61% -0.40% +0.50% -0.14% -0.11% LOSS
2023-09-27 09:26:00 $72.51 +0.36% +0.42% +0.80% +0.95% +0.51% +1.14% +0.19% +0.33% WIN
2023-09-19 09:25:00 $75.1 +0.20% -0.24% -0.27% -0.25% -0.03% +0.44% -0.16% -0.16% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RTX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.8% win rate and -0.07% average gain, RTX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RTX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RTX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RTX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RTX historically offers an average upside of +1.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RTX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.8%, RTX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RTX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RTX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.07%). This suggests RTX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.