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RVYL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-23 → 2023-07-19

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 28, 2009 🔗 www.greenboxpos.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.3M 👥 Employees: 95
Ryvyl Inc is a technology company that develops, markets and sells blockchain-based payment solutions, which offers improvements to the payment solutions marketplace. Its focus is developing and monetizing disruptive blockchain-based applications, integrated within an end-to-end suite of financial products, capable of supporting a multitude of industries. Its proprietary, blockchain-based systems are designed to facilitate, record, and store a limitless volume of tokenized assets, representing cash or data, on a secured immutable blockchain-based ledger. It has two reportable segments North America and International. It generates the majority of its revenue from North America.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+461.41%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.51%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -3.42%
Avg Winner: +3.53%
Avg Loser: -4.57%
Best: +3.53%
Worst: -14.14%
Trades: 1/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -5.76%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -7.26%
Best: +1.76%
Worst: -14.06%
Trades: 1/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -4.75%
Avg Winner: +8.84%
Avg Loser: -7.01%
Best: +8.84%
Worst: -12.89%
Trades: 1/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -6.99%
Avg Winner: +5.34%
Avg Loser: -9.05%
Best: +5.34%
Worst: -22.16%
Trades: 1/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +461.41%
Avg Winner: +649.63%
Avg Loser: -9.15%
Best: +926.55%
Worst: -12.50%
Trades: 5/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.51%
Best MFE: +13.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 64 min

On average, RVYL alerts reach +4.51% profit potential within 64 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.13%
Worst MAE: -10.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.13%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.44:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, RVYL typically reaches +4.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap -0.97%
Best Gap +1.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES

How RVYL compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RVYL: -3.45% Sector: -0.52% -2.92%
EOD Gain
RVYL: +394.10% Sector: +302.11% +91.99%
Avg MFE
RVYL: +5.08% Sector: +13.65% -8.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RVYL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-07-19 09:29:00 $1.28 -14.14% -14.06% -12.89% -22.16% +696.88% +2.34% -2.34% +0.78% LOSS
2023-07-10 09:27:00 $1.13 +3.53% +1.76% +8.84% +5.34% +926.55% +13.27% -0.89% +1.77% WIN
2023-06-28 09:26:00 $0.81 -2.00% -6.35% -6.51% -5.87% +0.42% +8.29% -10.68% +0.10% LOSS
2023-04-12 09:27:00 $0.73 -4.11% -10.96% -9.59% -13.01% +759.04% +4.11% - -2.74% LOSS
2023-01-27 09:26:00 $0.62 -3.23% - -1.85% -1.09% +865.25% +1.14% -3.64% -3.64% LOSS
2023-01-24 09:26:00 $0.69 -0.12% -1.81% -4.35% -0.88% -5.80% +2.43% -4.38% +1.45% LOSS
2023-01-23 09:26:00 $0.8 -3.84% -3.12% -6.90% -11.25% -12.50% - - -4.50% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on RVYL

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RVYL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RVYL Strategy →

Why Analyze RVYL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RVYL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RVYL historically offers an average upside of +4.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RVYL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, RVYL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RVYL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +461.41%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.