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RWM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 216 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares Short Russell2000
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 12, 2008
📊
216
Total Alerts
🎯
49.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.98%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: -0.21%
Best: +0.80%
Worst: -1.31%
Trades: 94/108

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +1.42%
Worst: -1.65%
Trades: 105/102

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +2.10%
Worst: -1.54%
Trades: 97/110

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +2.04%
Worst: -2.11%
Trades: 104/105

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.5%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +2.94%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 107/108

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.98%
Best MFE: +3.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 148 min

On average, RWM alerts reach +0.98% profit potential within 148 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -3.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 26 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.48:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.48x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 216 alerts, RWM typically reaches +0.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 216
Gap Up % 46.8%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +0.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RWM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:42 $18.33 +0.19% -0.25% -0.11% +0.30% +0.55% +0.76% -0.27% - WIN
2025-02-13 09:29:56 $18.49 +0.38% +0.22% +0.22% +0.41% -0.43% +0.65% - +0.11% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:01 $18.72 +0.21% -0.13% -0.21% -0.37% -0.53% +0.24% +0.03% +0.11% WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:36 $18.21 -0.13% - -0.16% +0.22% +1.15% +1.26% -0.28% -0.11% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:29 $18.26 -0.19% -0.03% -0.05% -0.33% -0.77% +0.33% -0.27% -0.11% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:19 $18.73 +0.32% +0.11% +0.36% -0.80% -0.80% +0.53% -0.08% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:08 $18.19 - -0.14% +0.00% -0.33% +0.93% +1.35% -0.74% -0.11% -
2025-01-27 09:28:23 $18.33 -0.30% -0.55% -1.16% -1.04% +0.05% +0.60% -1.31% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:06 $19.02 +0.09% +0.21% -0.05% +0.16% +0.47% +1.16% -0.37% -0.16% WIN
2024-12-27 09:26:03 $18.44 - -0.16% -0.27% +1.05% +0.87% +1.82% -0.48% - -
2024-12-23 09:28:26 $18.64 +0.05% +0.16% +0.43% +0.70% +0.11% +1.05% -0.27% -0.05% WIN
2024-12-19 09:25:50 $18.81 -0.21% -0.32% +0.37% +1.17% +1.44% +1.70% -0.58% -0.05% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:29:17 $17.98 -0.06% +0.06% +0.33% +0.39% +0.50% +1.03% -0.17% - LOSS
2024-12-06 09:28:43 $17.56 - +0.23% +0.28% +0.40% +0.28% +0.57% -0.09% -0.06% -
2024-11-19 09:27:44 $18.53 -0.27% -0.43% -0.43% -0.69% -1.83% - -0.11% -0.05% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:26:39 $18.29 +0.22% - +0.44% -0.16% +0.16% +0.55% -0.16% +0.05% WIN
2024-11-13 09:29:11 $17.53 - -0.23% -0.11% +0.06% +1.71% +1.83% -0.29% +0.06% -
2024-11-11 09:27:29 $17.44 -0.20% -0.40% -0.11% -0.17% -0.52% +0.24% -0.57% -0.06% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:26:05 $17.75 +0.23% +0.11% -0.28% -0.28% -0.79% +0.23% - +0.11% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:26 $17.61 +0.80% +1.42% +2.10% +0.94% +0.23% +2.44% -0.11% +0.57% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RWM Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.5% win rate and -0.01% average gain, RWM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RWM for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RWM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RWM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RWM historically offers an average upside of +0.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RWM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.5%, RWM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RWM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RWM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.01%). This suggests RWM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.