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SBH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-15 → 2023-11-15

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. RETAIL-RETAIL STORES, NEC (SIC 5990)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 13, 2006 🔗 www.sallybeautyholdings.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.51B 👥 Employees: 27,000
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc is a professional beauty-products retailer based in the United States. The company operates throughout the United States, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, Belgium, Canada, Chile, Mexico, Peru, France, Ireland, Spain, Germany, Netherlands, and other geographical regions. The company operates through two business segments: Sally Beauty Supply and Beauty Systems Group. The products offered by the company include hair color and care, hair dryers and hair-styling appliances, nail care, skin care, and others.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+4.72%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+7.44%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.61%
Avg Winner: +2.48%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -0.66%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.72%
Avg Winner: +4.72%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +11.21%
Worst: +1.33%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.71%
Avg Winner: +3.71%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +6.38%
Worst: +0.84%
Trades: 3/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.51%
Avg Winner: +3.51%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.82%
Worst: +0.96%
Trades: 3/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.76%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.46%
Worst: +0.77%
Trades: 3/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.44%
Best MFE: +14.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 25 min

On average, SBH alerts reach +7.44% profit potential within 25 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.86%
Worst MAE: -1.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.86%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.62:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.62x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, SBH typically reaches +7.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.32%
Best Gap +2.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-RETAIL STORES, NEC

How SBH compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SBH: +0.61% Sector: -0.35% +0.95%
EOD Gain
SBH: +2.76% Sector: +74.89% -72.13%
Avg MFE
SBH: +7.44% Sector: +5.14% +2.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SBH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-15 09:27:00 $9.04 -0.66% +1.33% +3.89% +4.76% +0.77% +5.31% -1.88% -1.88% LOSS
2022-05-05 09:25:00 $14.1 +2.48% +11.21% +6.38% +4.82% +5.46% +14.89% -0.71% +2.77% WIN
2022-03-15 09:25:00 $16.67 - +1.62% +0.84% +0.96% +2.04% +2.13% - +0.06% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on SBH

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SBH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SBH Strategy →

Why Analyze SBH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SBH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SBH historically offers an average upside of +7.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SBH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, SBH shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SBH performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.72%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.