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Latest signal:

SBIT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 83 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-05 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (83 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares UltraShort Bitcoin ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Apr 02, 2024
📊
83
Total Alerts
🎯
69.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+177.14%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +1.22%
Worst: -3.32%
Trades: 38/42

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +3.27%
Worst: -4.96%
Trades: 38/42

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.2%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +4.53%
Worst: -5.49%
Trades: 35/47

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -1.95%
Best: +7.18%
Worst: -6.58%
Trades: 32/48

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 69.9%
Avg Gain: +177.14%
Avg Winner: +255.12%
Avg Loser: -3.79%
Best: +442.63%
Worst: -15.69%
Trades: 58/25

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.08%
Best MFE: +14.10%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, SBIT alerts reach +3.08% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.30%
Worst MAE: -7.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 32 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.37:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.37x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 83 alerts, SBIT typically reaches +3.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 83
Gap Up % 26.5%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +0.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SBIT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:31 $10.5 -0.38% -1.33% -1.48% +0.24% -1.52% +0.67% -2.17% - LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:31 $10.66 -0.08% +0.56% -0.09% -0.38% +395.31% +1.37% -1.31% -0.19% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:03 $10.94 -0.82% -1.65% -2.01% -2.01% +375.78% +0.46% - - LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:32 $10.47 - -0.30% -0.19% -0.10% +416.24% +4.30% -0.96% - -
2025-02-10 09:28:31 $10.28 -0.54% +0.39% +0.97% +1.35% +0.68% +1.95% -0.73% +0.10% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:25:06 $9.85 +0.46% - -0.71% +3.20% +8.73% +9.19% -1.20% -0.10% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:32 $10.17 -1.03% +0.10% +0.44% +1.72% +3.05% +5.41% -1.56% +0.10% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:26:55 $10.09 +0.10% -0.74% +0.99% +0.40% +414.37% +4.46% -1.29% -0.10% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:31 $10.01 -1.55% -2.30% -1.90% -0.20% +403.00% +2.07% -3.55% -0.30% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:42 $10.82 -2.63% -2.77% -3.42% -6.19% +343.16% +0.52% -0.28% -0.28% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:04 $9.02 -0.50% +0.39% +0.35% -1.11% +429.38% +6.07% -2.88% -0.22% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:40 $8.95 -0.34% -0.17% -2.01% -0.95% +0.11% +0.44% -3.02% - LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:02 $9.48 - +0.42% +0.21% +0.53% -4.32% +1.53% -1.79% - -
2025-01-28 09:25:19 $9.42 -0.64% -0.64% -0.69% -1.17% +2.34% +2.55% -2.76% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:15 $9.73 -0.82% -0.31% -2.36% -1.13% +394.35% +3.49% -2.77% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:27:31 $8.95 +0.78% -1.56% -1.51% -0.98% +0.67% +1.12% -0.34% -0.22% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:40 $9.48 -3.32% -4.96% -5.49% -3.69% +389.98% - -0.32% -0.11% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:19 $9.09 -0.33% +0.39% -0.17% -0.77% +400.55% +2.20% -1.32% -0.22% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:05 $9.01 +0.89% +2.53% +3.99% +2.61% -2.33% +4.44% -0.44% -0.22% WIN
2025-01-17 09:27:25 $9.44 -0.16% +0.42% -1.43% -2.07% -4.24% +0.79% -0.24% -0.11% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 69.9% Baseline on SBIT

The 69.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SBIT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SBIT Strategy →

Why Analyze SBIT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SBIT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SBIT historically offers an average upside of +3.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SBIT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 69.9%, SBIT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SBIT performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +177.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.