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SBSW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 493 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Sibanye-Stillwater American Depositary Shares, each representing four ordinary shares
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2013 🔗 www.sibanyestillwater.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.71B 👥 Employees: 72,423
Sibanye Stillwater Ltd is a South African mining and metals processing group with a diverse portfolio of operations, projects, and investments across five continents. The Group is also one of the foremost recyclers of PGM autocatalysts and has interests in mine tailings retreatment operations. It is a producer of platinum, palladium, and rhodium and is a top-tier gold producer. It also produces and refines iridium and ruthenium, nickel, chrome, copper, and cobalt. Its products are Gold, Nickel, Zinc, Chrome, PGMs, and other.
📊
493
Total Alerts
🎯
52.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: -2.60%
Trades: 257/208

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +5.23%
Worst: -4.12%
Trades: 248/228

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +5.40%
Worst: -3.96%
Trades: 255/223

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.5%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +6.31%
Worst: -4.71%
Trades: 243/236

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +11.00%
Worst: -6.99%
Trades: 253/227

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.09%
Best MFE: +11.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, SBSW alerts reach +2.09% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.71%
Worst MAE: -4.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.93:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.93x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 493 alerts, SBSW typically reaches +2.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 493
Gap Up % 42.4%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +2.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SBSW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:32 $3.9 -0.03% +0.51% +1.28% -1.67% -1.79% +1.28% +0.26% +0.26% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:05 $3.82 -1.96% -2.23% -1.78% -1.05% +3.66% +3.93% -3.14% -0.52% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:41 $3.89 +1.26% +0.77% +2.57% +2.19% +2.31% +4.88% - - WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:03 $3.9 -0.38% +0.75% +1.15% +2.69% +1.54% +3.59% -1.26% -0.51% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:22 $4.02 +1.37% +0.72% +0.62% -0.15% -0.50% +1.74% -0.25% +0.50% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:18 $3.96 +0.63% +0.73% +1.24% +0.13% -1.26% +1.26% +0.25% +0.25% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:49 $4.03 -0.62% -0.94% -1.86% -2.11% -0.74% +0.74% -0.72% +0.74% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:52 $4.07 -0.12% +0.12% +0.25% -1.74% -0.98% +0.61% +0.25% +0.25% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:07 $3.95 -0.38% -0.38% +0.76% +2.03% +2.28% +3.04% -0.51% -0.25% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:49 $3.83 +0.39% +0.52% +0.39% +1.43% +1.83% +5.22% -0.65% -0.52% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:52 $3.81 +2.10% +1.97% +0.52% +0.23% - +2.62% +1.84% +2.62% WIN
2025-01-30 09:28:40 $3.67 -0.54% +0.84% +1.77% +1.23% +3.81% +4.36% -0.55% +0.27% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:53 $3.57 -0.31% +0.42% +1.68% +1.12% -1.40% +1.96% -1.12% +0.28% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:39 $3.8 +0.13% -0.02% -0.66% -0.39% -1.05% +1.58% -0.92% - WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:58 $3.59 +0.14% -0.70% -0.14% - +1.95% +2.23% -0.84% -0.28% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:07 $3.58 -0.14% -0.59% -0.95% +0.14% +1.68% +3.91% -1.68% - LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:56 $3.63 -0.55% -0.60% -0.96% -0.96% -1.65% - -0.83% -0.55% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:45 $3.51 -1.28% -0.43% -0.28% -1.00% -0.28% +1.99% -1.85% - LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:28 $3.47 -1.01% +0.25% +1.44% - +1.44% +3.17% -1.88% -0.29% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:16 $3.62 +2.07% +1.10% -0.14% +1.80% -0.55% +3.04% -1.66% +0.83% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 52.3% Baseline on SBSW

The 52.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SBSW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SBSW Strategy →

Why Analyze SBSW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SBSW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SBSW historically offers an average upside of +2.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SBSW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.3%, SBSW shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SBSW performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.