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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SCHO

Trade-Ideas alerts 45.7% at 60-min n=94 2022-01-07 → 2026-10-01

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 94 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Aug 05, 2010
Total alerts
94
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
45.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
+0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.07%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SCHO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: +0.08%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 40/36

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: +0.09%
Worst: -0.25%
Trades: 41/41

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.04%
Best: +0.10%
Worst: -0.26%
Trades: 39/47

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: -0.04%
Best: +0.21%
Worst: -0.25%
Trades: 43/47

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 14.9%
Avg Gain: -26.60%
Avg Winner: +0.12%
Avg Loser: -33.81%
Best: +0.21%
Worst: -50.13%
Trades: 14/74

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.07%
Best MFE: +0.36%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, SCHO alerts reach +0.07% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.03%
Worst MAE: -0.29%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.03%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.69:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.69x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 94 alerts, SCHO typically reaches +0.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 94
Gap Up % 33.0%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SCHO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $23.86 -0.27% -0.25% -0.26% -0.25% -0.08% -0.04% -0.29% -0.25% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $23.89 +0.02% +0.00% -0.08% -0.13% -0.17% +0.04% +0.00% +0.00% WIN
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $24.09 -0.03% -0.00% -0.04% -0.06% -0.08% +0.00% -0.04% -0.04% LOSS
2026-05-14 09:25:00 $24.17 +0.02% +0.00% -0.04% -0.02% -0.08% +0.04% +0.00% +0.00% WIN
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $24.16 +0.03% +0.00% -0.00% +0.03% -0.00% +0.04% -0.00% -0.00% WIN
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $24.22 -0.02% -0.04% +0.02% +0.06% +0.08% +0.12% -0.08% -0.04% LOSS
2026-03-19 09:25:00 $24.22 +0.03% +0.02% +0.04% +0.04% +0.12% +0.16% -0.04% +0.04% WIN
2026-03-18 09:25:00 $24.29 +0.00% -0.02% +0.02% +0.02% -0.10% +0.02% +0.00% +0.02% LOSS
2026-03-03 09:25:00 $24.32 -0.04% +0.00% +0.00% +0.08% +0.08% +0.12% -0.04% +0.00% LOSS
2026-02-17 09:25:00 $24.41 +0.00% +0.00% -0.02% -0.02% -0.06% +0.02% +0.00% +0.02% LOSS
2026-01-09 09:25:00 $24.38 -0.02% -0.02% -0.06% -0.04% -0.08% +0.00% -0.02% +0.00% LOSS
2024-09-04 09:26:31 $48.67 +0.03% +0.05% +0.06% +0.15% -49.91% +0.21% +0.02% +0.02% WIN
2024-02-16 09:27:57 $48.15 +0.00% +0.02% +0.04% +0.06% +0.06% +0.08% +0.00% +0.02% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:28:00 $48.44 -0.02% -0.02% -0.02% -0.02% -50.01% +0.00% -0.02% +0.00% LOSS
2023-12-21 09:29:00 $48.38 +0.03% +0.04% +0.02% -0.03% -50.01% +0.06% +0.02% +0.02% WIN
2023-10-20 09:25:00 $47.81 +0.01% +0.01% +0.03% +0.03% -49.97% +0.10% +0.00% +0.02% WIN
2023-10-03 09:28:00 $47.7 +0.01% +0.01% +0.04% -0.06% -50.04% +0.04% -0.02% +0.00% WIN
2023-09-08 09:29:00 $47.9 +0.01% +0.01% +0.00% +0.00% -50.04% +0.02% -0.00% +0.00% WIN
2023-08-16 09:27:00 $47.92 +0.00% +0.02% +0.00% +0.01% -50.03% +0.04% -0.02% +0.00% LOSS
2023-08-11 09:25:00 $47.94 -0.02% -0.03% -0.03% +0.04% +0.00% +0.06% -0.04% -0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SCHO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.7% win rate and +0.00% average gain, SCHO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SCHO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SCHO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SCHO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SCHO historically offers an average upside of +0.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SCHO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.7%, SCHO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SCHO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at +0.00%). This suggests SCHO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.