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SCLX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-13 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 11, 2022 🔗 www.scilexholding.com
💰 Market Cap: $77.3M 👥 Employees: 30
Scilex Holding Co is focused on acquiring, developing, and commercializing non-opioid pain management products for the treatment of acute and chronic pain. The Company's commercial product, ZTlido (lidocaine topical system), is a prescription lidocaine topical product for relieving pain associated with postherpetic neuralgia, which is a form of post-shingles nerve pain. It is focused on commercializing Gloperba (colchicine USP) an oral solution, a prophylactic treatment for painful gout flares in adults. The Company's three product candidates are SP-102 or SEMDEXA viscous gel formulation of a used corticosteroid for epidural injections, SP-103 a Phase 2, triple-strength formulation of ZTlido, and SP-104, 4.5 mg Delayed Burst Release Low Dose Naltrexone Hydrochloride (DBR-LDN) Capsule.
📊
29
Total Alerts
🎯
86.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+2372.29%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.03%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -0.75%
Avg Winner: +3.18%
Avg Loser: -2.97%
Best: +6.96%
Worst: -6.98%
Trades: 10/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -0.93%
Avg Winner: +4.32%
Avg Loser: -3.70%
Best: +17.71%
Worst: -8.73%
Trades: 10/19

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -1.40%
Avg Winner: +3.84%
Avg Loser: -4.39%
Best: +12.57%
Worst: -8.33%
Trades: 10/18

60MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -1.00%
Avg Winner: +6.80%
Avg Loser: -5.70%
Best: +22.88%
Worst: -11.51%
Trades: 10/17

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 86.2%
Avg Gain: +2372.29%
Avg Winner: +2752.77%
Avg Loser: -5.69%
Best: +3597.20%
Worst: -8.63%
Trades: 25/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.03%
Best MFE: +34.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 82 min

On average, SCLX alerts reach +7.03% profit potential within 82 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.66%
Worst MAE: -8.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.65:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.65x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, SCLX typically reaches +7.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +3.46%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How SCLX compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SCLX: -0.75% Sector: -0.41% -0.34%
EOD Gain
SCLX: +2372.29% Sector: +1233.50% +1138.79%
Avg MFE
SCLX: +7.03% Sector: +6.69% +0.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SCLX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:26:06 $0.48 -1.29% -1.92% -5.06% -6.93% +3259.77% +0.15% -6.09% -1.92% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:55 $0.43 +3.73% +0.74% +0.46% -0.44% +3478.07% +3.73% -1.72% -1.72% WIN
2025-01-07 09:26:19 $0.51 -1.75% -0.02% -1.32% -3.63% +3196.18% +0.49% -2.35% +0.49% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:26:15 $0.44 -2.46% -0.96% -0.27% -0.93% +3380.86% +5.88% -2.46% +1.41% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:25:18 $0.54 -3.33% -8.06% -8.33% -6.56% -4.67% - - -1.48% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:29:24 $0.59 -5.08% -6.78% -6.91% -6.13% +3399.41% -0.02% -2.37% -0.02% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:25:39 $0.63 +3.91% -4.61% -6.95% -8.65% -8.63% +6.52% -1.45% +1.75% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:19 $0.7 -2.41% -0.96% +3.04% -0.98% +3351.28% +4.91% -3.49% -3.13% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:28:55 $0.59 -4.46% -3.32% -4.21% +0.10% -4.24% +4.31% -5.38% +3.46% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:28:05 $0.98 -6.98% -8.16% -7.92% -9.18% +3043.93% -0.06% -2.83% -0.06% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:25:00 $1.1 +1.82% +0.91% -2.27% -10.00% +3005.45% +2.73% -0.91% +1.82% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:59 $1.12 -0.26% -4.46% -3.12% +0.45% +3243.75% +1.79% -1.79% -0.89% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:28:47 $1.01 -0.04% -0.99% -0.99% - +3163.66% +0.99% -0.49% - LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:56 $0.93 +2.03% +4.19% +3.27% +4.89% +3597.20% +9.68% -1.08% +0.32% WIN
2024-10-22 09:28:09 $0.98 -1.01% +1.06% +3.35% +1.08% +3366.07% +7.66% -2.03% -1.01% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:27:38 $0.96 +6.96% +17.71% +2.60% -0.27% +3436.46% +17.71% - +2.08% WIN
2024-10-16 09:26:12 $0.86 +0.58% +1.02% +0.76% +11.45% +3440.70% +24.42% -2.33% -1.16% WIN
2024-09-03 09:26:03 $1.22 -4.30% -7.79% -1.64% -6.15% +3055.74% -0.41% -4.92% -1.64% LOSS
2024-08-29 09:26:33 $1.12 -1.79% -1.79% - - +3368.75% +1.79% -2.68% -2.68% LOSS
2024-07-05 09:25:53 $1.76 - +1.70% +3.89% +0.85% +6.82% +9.66% -2.27% +2.27% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 86.2% Baseline on SCLX

The 86.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SCLX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SCLX Strategy →

Why Analyze SCLX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SCLX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SCLX historically offers an average upside of +7.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SCLX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 86.2%, SCLX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SCLX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2372.29%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.