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SDHC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-01 → 2024-04-01

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. OPERATIVE BUILDERS (SIC 1531)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 11, 2024 🔗 www.smithdouglas.com
💰 Market Cap: $173.0M 👥 Employees: 462
Smith Douglas Homes Corp is a company engaged in the design, construction, and sale of single-family homes in some of the highest growth and desirable markets in the Southeastern United States. It is organized into eight geographical divisions which comprise two reportable segments. Its Southeast segment consists of Atlanta, Central Georgia, Charlotte, Greenville, and Raleigh divisions. Its Central segment consists of Alabama, Houston, and Nashville divisions.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.39%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.39%
Worst: +0.39%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: -0.17%
Worst: -0.17%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: +0.32%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.10%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.10%
Worst: +0.10%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.70%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.70%
Best: -3.70%
Worst: -3.70%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.01%
Best MFE: +1.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, SDHC alerts reach +1.01% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.54%
Worst MAE: -0.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 65 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.88:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, SDHC typically reaches +1.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap -0.07%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OPERATIVE BUILDERS

How SDHC compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SDHC: +0.39% Sector: +0.15% +0.24%
EOD Gain
SDHC: -3.70% Sector: -0.42% -3.29%
Avg MFE
SDHC: +1.01% Sector: +2.02% -1.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SDHC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-01 09:26:30 $29.7 +0.39% -0.17% +0.32% +0.10% -3.70% +1.01% -0.54% -0.07% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on SDHC

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SDHC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SDHC Strategy →

Why Analyze SDHC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SDHC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SDHC historically offers an average upside of +1.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SDHC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, SDHC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SDHC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.39%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.