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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SDS

Trade-Ideas alerts 47.9% at 15-min n=877 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares UltraShort S&P500
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jul 11, 2006
Total alerts
877
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
47.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
+0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.26%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SDS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: +0.88%
Worst: -0.66%
Trades: 386/452

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -1.92%
Trades: 419/442

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +2.58%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 415/442

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +4.49%
Worst: -3.27%
Trades: 418/444

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +3.30%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +393.26%
Worst: -9.07%
Trades: 405/462

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.26%
Best MFE: +7.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 163 min

On average, SDS alerts reach +1.26% profit potential within 163 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -2.96%
Avg Time to MAE: 35 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.86:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.86x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 877 alerts, SDS typically reaches +1.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 877
Gap Up % 41.2%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SDS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $53.44 +0.13% +0.05% +0.29% -0.40% +0.28% +0.93% -0.51% +0.04% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $54.29 +0.04% +0.04% +0.20% +0.99% +0.06% +1.45% -0.27% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $53.92 +0.09% +0.04% -0.18% -0.37% +1.11% +1.21% -0.69% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $53.92 +0.18% +0.32% +0.34% +0.35% +0.61% +1.13% -0.06% -0.04% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $53.7 +0.11% +0.20% +0.07% +0.09% +0.69% +1.15% -0.09% -0.04% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $53.58 +0.22% -0.14% -0.34% +0.40% -0.60% +0.71% -0.34% +0.07% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $54.16 +0.16% -0.11% -0.09% -0.33% -0.72% +0.31% -0.48% +0.11% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $53.0 +0.06% +0.17% +0.55% +1.06% +1.28% +1.63% -0.04% -0.04% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $53.45 -0.04% -0.15% +0.02% +0.09% +0.17% +0.36% -0.29% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $54.55 -0.09% -0.11% -0.29% -0.77% -1.92% +0.06% -0.11% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $55.43 -0.27% -0.28% +0.01% +0.23% -0.36% +0.51% -0.42% -0.36% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $55.16 +0.13% +0.68% +0.65% +0.40% +0.22% +0.92% +0.00% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $55.69 +0.11% +0.25% -0.08% +0.25% +1.53% +2.71% -0.45% +0.11% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $55.6 +0.14% +0.17% +0.23% +0.77% +0.79% +1.12% -0.13% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $55.8 +0.05% +0.00% -0.26% +0.09% -0.48% +0.21% -0.54% -0.02% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $54.94 +0.07% -0.09% -0.15% -0.25% +0.16% +0.31% -0.40% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $55.94 -0.02% -0.21% +0.19% -0.43% -0.02% +0.29% -0.30% -0.05% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $55.0 +0.07% +0.13% +0.07% +0.29% +0.45% +0.84% -0.07% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $54.26 +0.00% +0.38% +0.39% +0.60% +0.87% +1.06% -0.09% +0.06% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $53.86 -0.03% -0.07% -0.07% +0.25% +0.48% +0.78% -0.20% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SDS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.9% win rate and +0.00% average gain, SDS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SDS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SDS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SDS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SDS historically offers an average upside of +1.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SDS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.9%, SDS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SDS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at +0.00%). This suggests SDS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.