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SE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 304 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-16

🏢 Company Profile

Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 20, 2017 🔗 www.sea.com
💰 Market Cap: $74.55B 👥 Employees: 80,700
Sea started as a gaming business, Garena, but in 2015 expanded into e-commerce. Sea operates Southeast Asia's largest e-commerce company, Shopee, in terms of gross merchandise value. Shopee is a hybrid C2C and B2C marketplace platform operating in Indonesia, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Brazil. For Garena, Free Fire is the key revenue generating game. Sea's third business, SeaMoney, provides lending, payment, digital banking, and insurance services.As of March 31, 2025, Forrest Xiaodong Li, the founder, chairman and CEO, owned 59.1% of voting power. Tencent owned 18.5% of issued shares with no voting power.
📊
304
Total Alerts
🎯
48.8%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.00%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +5.05%
Worst: -4.26%
Trades: 148/153

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +6.11%
Worst: -6.50%
Trades: 146/157

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +2.10%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +10.22%
Worst: -7.62%
Trades: 138/164

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +2.39%
Avg Loser: -2.20%
Best: +10.55%
Worst: -10.81%
Trades: 133/170

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +3.18%
Avg Loser: -3.09%
Best: +16.27%
Worst: -15.96%
Trades: 140/161

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.95%
Best MFE: +17.95%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, SE alerts reach +2.95% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.21%
Worst MAE: -9.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 304 alerts, SE typically reaches +2.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 304
Gap Up % 46.1%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +2.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-16 09:29:00 $111.6 -0.12% +0.12% +0.39% -0.14% +0.03% +1.55% -0.45% +0.36% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:29:57 $107.2 -0.11% -0.71% -0.41% -0.71% -1.03% +0.04% -0.62% -0.03% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:26:59 $114.61 -0.49% -2.14% -0.74% -0.67% -1.20% +0.34% -0.10% +0.32% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:27:34 $110.99 +3.28% +1.99% +1.50% +0.64% -3.01% +5.88% -1.79% -1.30% WIN
2024-09-26 09:26:22 $94.9 +1.00% +0.08% +0.24% +0.37% -0.07% +1.25% -0.21% +0.05% WIN
2024-09-24 09:25:17 $92.85 -0.37% -1.52% -0.69% -1.68% - +0.15% -2.13% -0.37% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:29:53 $86.9 +1.17% +1.71% +2.53% +4.06% +4.34% +4.71% -0.43% +1.00% WIN
2024-09-09 09:25:31 $77.43 - -0.10% -0.12% -0.10% -0.67% +0.36% -0.98% +0.09% -
2024-09-06 09:26:01 $78.49 +0.20% -0.05% -0.08% -0.57% -1.67% +0.87% -0.29% -0.04% WIN
2024-08-14 09:26:31 $75.6 +3.21% +3.17% +2.50% +0.70% +1.59% +3.51% -0.40% +0.17% WIN
2024-08-13 09:29:28 $70.0 +1.77% +1.69% +2.98% +4.54% +6.93% +7.03% - +0.71% WIN
2024-08-05 09:26:06 $54.6 +2.47% +5.70% +6.83% +7.53% +9.78% +11.87% -0.18% +0.73% WIN
2024-06-25 09:27:20 $73.05 -0.99% +0.14% +0.63% +0.63% +1.56% +1.63% -2.46% -1.57% LOSS
2024-05-30 09:27:14 $67.4 -0.36% -0.22% -0.24% -0.74% -0.37% +0.15% -1.53% -0.25% LOSS
2024-05-28 09:26:46 $67.95 -0.54% -2.06% -1.65% -1.04% +2.47% +2.55% -3.16% +0.31% LOSS
2024-05-14 09:27:38 $68.2 -1.30% -2.67% -5.78% +0.06% -2.84% +2.20% -7.40% -1.35% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:25:14 $61.66 +0.96% +0.76% +0.75% +1.54% +1.90% +2.61% -0.78% -0.02% WIN
2024-04-24 09:26:09 $64.17 +0.05% -0.06% -0.37% -1.13% -1.40% +0.52% -1.45% -0.26% WIN
2024-04-23 09:29:16 $60.67 -0.28% +0.15% +0.94% +0.97% +2.21% +3.26% -0.81% -0.23% LOSS
2024-04-22 09:26:11 $58.6 +2.27% +3.21% +3.78% +0.84% +1.42% +5.46% -0.60% +0.41% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.8% win rate and -0.00% average gain, SE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SE historically offers an average upside of +2.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.8%, SE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.00%). This suggests SE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.