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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$SERA

Trade-Ideas alerts 71.4% at EOD n=7 2023-02-15 → 2026-05-22

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 7 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sera Prognostics, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES (SIC 8071)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 15, 2021 🔗 www.seraprognostics.com
💰 Market Cap: $82.4M 👥 Employees: 72
Sera Prognostics Inc is a health diagnostic company. It is a women's health company utilizing the proprietary proteomics and bioinformatics platform, and data resources to improve maternal and neonatal health by discovering, developing, and commercializing blood-based biomarker tests, and predictive analytic products and services. The Company operates as one operating segment, which is developing and commercializing its medical diagnostic products and services.
Total alerts
7
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
71.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+14.05%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+33.32%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SERA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +4.06%
Avg Loser: -3.21%
Best: +7.65%
Worst: -6.23%
Trades: 3/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -1.47%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: -4.21%
Best: +4.74%
Worst: -7.22%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.67%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -8.68%
Best: +6.97%
Worst: -11.21%
Trades: 4/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +11.10%
Avg Winner: +26.10%
Avg Loser: -8.89%
Best: +70.71%
Worst: -14.25%
Trades: 4/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +14.05%
Avg Winner: +21.46%
Avg Loser: -4.49%
Best: +42.31%
Worst: -7.22%
Trades: 5/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +33.32%
Best MFE: +89.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 213 min

On average, SERA alerts reach +33.32% profit potential within 213 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.80%
Worst MAE: -20.81%
Avg Time to MAE: 30 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, SERA typically reaches +33.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 26.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -1.36%
Best Gap +0.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES

How SERA compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SERA: -1.39% Sector: -0.12% -1.27%
EOD Gain
SERA: +12.76% Sector: +452296.46% -452283.70%
Avg MFE
SERA: +33.68% Sector: +9.23% +24.45%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SERA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-05-22 09:25:00 $1.7 +7.65% +1.77% - +5.29% +21.76% +31.17% -1.95% -0.59% WIN
2023-12-07 09:27:00 $5.14 -6.23% -1.16% +0.18% -1.36% -1.75% +10.31% -8.37% -7.59% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:27:00 $5.19 +4.05% -4.24% +3.28% +70.71% +5.78% +89.98% -20.81% -3.47% WIN
2023-02-21 09:26:00 $3.6 -2.78% -7.22% -6.14% -11.06% -7.22% +0.56% -1.67% +0.00% LOSS
2023-02-17 09:27:00 $2.74 -2.92% +0.00% +2.92% +2.92% +31.39% +29.56% -4.01% +0.73% LOSS
2023-02-16 09:26:00 $2.08 +0.48% +4.74% +6.97% +25.48% +42.31% +56.25% +0.00% +0.48% WIN
2023-02-15 09:25:00 $2.14 -0.93% -4.21% -11.21% -14.25% +6.07% +15.42% -17.76% +0.93% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 71.4% Baseline on SERA

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SERA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SERA Strategy →

Why Analyze SERA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SERA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SERA historically offers an average upside of +33.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SERA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, SERA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SERA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +14.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.