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SERA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-15 → 2023-12-07
⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SERA alerts reach +33.68% profit potential within 194 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 8.77%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.84x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, SERA typically reaches +33.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 26.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES
How SERA compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SERA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-07 | 09:27:00 | $5.14 | -6.23% | -1.16% | +0.18% | -1.36% | -1.75% | +10.31% | -8.37% | -7.59% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-06 | 09:27:00 | $5.19 | +4.05% | -4.24% | +3.28% | +70.71% | +5.78% | +89.98% | -20.81% | -3.47% | WIN |
| 2023-02-21 | 09:26:00 | $3.6 | -2.78% | -7.22% | -6.14% | -11.06% | -7.22% | +0.56% | -1.67% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-02-17 | 09:27:00 | $2.74 | -2.92% | - | +2.92% | +2.92% | +31.39% | +29.56% | -4.01% | +0.73% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-16 | 09:26:00 | $2.08 | +0.48% | +4.74% | +6.97% | +25.48% | +42.31% | +56.25% | - | +0.48% | WIN |
| 2023-02-15 | 09:25:00 | $2.14 | -0.93% | -4.21% | -11.21% | -14.25% | +6.07% | +15.42% | -17.76% | +0.93% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SERA Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, SERA has -0.67% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SERA profitable.
🔧 Fix SERA Risk/Reward →Why Analyze SERA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SERA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SERA historically offers an average upside of +33.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SERA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SERA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-8.68%) outweigh average wins (+3.34%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SERA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.67%). This suggests SERA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.