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SGOL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 130 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-10

🏢 Company Profile

abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Sep 09, 2009
📊
130
Total Alerts
🎯
56.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.11%
Avg Loser: -0.13%
Best: +0.36%
Worst: -0.42%
Trades: 61/55

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: -0.18%
Best: +0.79%
Worst: -0.79%
Trades: 61/61

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.24%
Avg Loser: -0.21%
Best: +1.19%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 69/55

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.9%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +1.91%
Worst: -1.73%
Trades: 74/52

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.6%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -2.83%
Trades: 71/54

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.53%
Best MFE: +2.74%
Avg Time to MFE: 135 min

On average, SGOL alerts reach +0.53% profit potential within 135 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.17%
Worst MAE: -0.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 130 alerts, SGOL typically reaches +0.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 130
Gap Up % 40.8%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How SGOL compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SGOL: -0.00% Sector: -0.01% +0.00%
EOD Gain
SGOL: +0.07% Sector: +257.70% -257.63%
Avg MFE
SGOL: +0.53% Sector: +1.89% -1.36%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SGOL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:26:39 $27.71 +0.04% +0.11% +0.14% +0.18% +0.14% +0.29% -0.04% - WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:37 $26.86 +0.02% +0.13% +0.50% +0.11% +0.11% +0.71% - +0.07% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:39 $26.49 - +0.19% +0.04% +0.36% -0.15% +0.38% -0.08% -0.08% -
2025-01-17 09:25:10 $25.81 +0.04% +0.19% +0.29% +0.31% -0.15% +0.50% - +0.12% WIN
2025-01-14 09:28:50 $25.42 - - +0.08% +0.31% +0.47% +0.51% -0.12% -0.04% -
2025-01-10 09:25:34 $25.66 +0.10% -0.07% -0.04% +0.23% +0.08% +0.39% -0.21% - WIN
2025-01-08 09:26:45 $25.4 +0.16% +0.20% +0.04% +0.14% +0.08% +0.35% -0.08% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-07 09:29:17 $25.36 +0.20% +0.18% +0.04% -0.21% -0.24% +0.22% +0.14% +0.16% WIN
2025-01-06 09:26:31 $24.99 +0.36% +0.24% +0.50% +0.72% +0.60% +0.90% +0.16% +0.32% WIN
2024-12-19 09:29:25 $24.79 +0.04% -0.10% -0.22% -0.28% -0.04% +0.14% -0.40% - WIN
2024-12-17 09:26:56 $25.17 +0.18% +0.10% -0.00% +0.20% +0.28% +0.46% -0.06% +0.16% WIN
2024-12-12 09:27:32 $25.62 +0.02% -0.04% +0.08% +0.08% -0.16% +0.20% -0.16% +0.04% WIN
2024-12-11 09:27:11 $25.78 -0.12% - +0.19% +0.39% +0.62% +0.78% -0.16% - LOSS
2024-12-06 09:25:27 $25.12 -0.08% -0.08% +0.10% +0.24% +0.04% +0.38% -0.20% -0.04% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:28:51 $25.26 -0.02% - -0.24% -0.48% -0.55% +0.04% -0.04% - LOSS
2024-12-04 09:25:20 $25.28 +0.14% +0.10% +0.12% +0.28% +0.12% +0.34% +0.03% +0.20% WIN
2024-11-27 09:26:45 $25.31 +0.10% +0.12% - -0.32% -0.55% +0.16% +0.02% +0.04% WIN
2024-11-26 09:26:12 $25.12 -0.20% -0.56% -0.44% -0.16% +0.04% +0.06% -0.56% -0.12% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:28:23 $25.29 -0.20% -0.51% -0.36% -0.47% -0.87% -0.10% -0.26% -0.12% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:28:22 $25.4 -0.22% -0.06% -0.08% +0.30% +0.04% +0.69% -0.32% -0.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.9% Baseline on SGOL

The 56.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SGOL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SGOL Strategy →

Why Analyze SGOL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SGOL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SGOL historically offers an average upside of +0.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SGOL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.9%, SGOL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SGOL performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.