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SHAK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 → 2024-10-30

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 30, 2015 🔗 www.shakeshack.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.71B 👥 Employees: 12,826
Shake Shack Inc is a roadside burger stand. It serves a classic American menu of premium burgers, hot dogs, crispy chicken, frozen custard, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, beer, wine and more. The company's burgers are made with a whole-muscle blend of all-natural, hormone and antibiotic-free Angus beef, ground fresh daily, cooked to order, and served on a non-genetically modified organism (GMO) potato bun. Its menu focuses on food and beverages, crafted from a range of classic American foods. The company serves draft Root Beer, seasonal freshly-squeezed lemonade, organic fresh brewed iced tea, cold brew coffee, organic apple juice, and Shack20 bottled water.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+2.64%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+7.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +2.92%
Worst: -3.02%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.41%
Avg Winner: +4.67%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +9.27%
Worst: -3.26%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.64%
Avg Winner: +2.64%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +12.12%
Worst: +0.03%
Trades: 6/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +4.17%
Avg Winner: +5.20%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +11.62%
Worst: -0.97%
Trades: 5/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +4.77%
Avg Winner: +7.70%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +12.61%
Worst: -1.73%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.45%
Best MFE: +15.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 190 min

On average, SHAK alerts reach +7.45% profit potential within 190 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.82%
Worst MAE: -4.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, SHAK typically reaches +7.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.25%
Best Gap +4.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES

How SHAK compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SHAK: +0.02% Sector: -0.02% +0.05%
EOD Gain
SHAK: +4.77% Sector: +4.83% -0.05%
Avg MFE
SHAK: +7.45% Sector: +2.03% +5.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SHAK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-30 09:27:50 $123.0 +0.52% +0.96% +1.44% +5.17% -0.43% +5.85% -0.41% - WIN
2024-08-01 09:27:44 $104.21 -3.02% -1.93% +0.03% -0.97% -1.73% +1.41% -4.52% -0.90% LOSS
2024-02-15 09:26:03 $90.85 +2.92% +3.78% +1.41% +3.60% +8.31% +8.86% +0.17% +4.30% WIN
2022-08-04 09:25:00 $48.35 -2.03% -3.26% +0.25% +1.07% +5.56% +5.98% -4.86% -3.21% LOSS
2022-02-18 09:25:00 $64.0 +1.70% +9.27% +12.12% +11.62% +12.61% +15.14% +0.16% +0.94% WIN
2022-01-11 09:25:00 $74.08 +0.05% -0.37% +0.61% +4.56% +4.31% +7.48% -1.44% +0.35% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on SHAK

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SHAK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SHAK Strategy →

Why Analyze SHAK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SHAK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SHAK historically offers an average upside of +7.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SHAK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, SHAK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SHAK performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.64%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.