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SHIM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-24 → 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 14, 2023 🔗 www.shimmick.com
💰 Market Cap: $127.5M 👥 Employees: 1,200
Shimmick Corp is a provider of water and other critical infrastructure solutions nationwide. It selectively focuses on the following types of infrastructure projects: Water Treatment, Water Resources, and Other Critical Infrastructure. In water treatment projects the company expands, rehabilitates, upgrades, builds and rebuilds water and wastewater treatment infrastructure, including desalination plants. In water resources projects company builds, expands, and improves water storage and conveyance, dams, levees, flood control systems, pump stations, and coastal protection. In Other Critical Infrastructure projects, It builds, retrofits, expands, rehabilitates, operates, and maintains its nation's critical infrastructure, including mass transit, bridges, and military infrastructure.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+6.21%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+17.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.27%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -2.78%
Best: +2.59%
Worst: -5.82%
Trades: 2/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.58%
Avg Winner: +3.83%
Avg Loser: -4.28%
Best: +5.24%
Worst: -7.57%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -1.42%
Avg Winner: +10.00%
Avg Loser: -3.71%
Best: +10.00%
Worst: -9.40%
Trades: 1/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +4.87%
Avg Loser: -6.51%
Best: +7.57%
Worst: -13.49%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +6.21%
Avg Winner: +15.15%
Avg Loser: -11.67%
Best: +22.95%
Worst: -17.98%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +17.37%
Best MFE: +31.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 164 min

On average, SHIM alerts reach +17.37% profit potential within 164 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.17%
Worst MAE: -15.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.42:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.42x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, SHIM typically reaches +17.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 13.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.86%
Best Gap +1.52%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS

How SHIM compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SHIM: -1.27% Sector: -0.26% -1.01%
EOD Gain
SHIM: +6.21% Sector: +1.27% +4.95%
Avg MFE
SHIM: +17.37% Sector: +5.13% +12.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SHIM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:29:34 $2.86 -0.70% -0.35% -1.05% -2.45% +5.94% +9.44% -5.24% +1.05% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:25:23 $3.67 +2.59% -4.63% -9.40% -13.49% -17.98% +3.00% -4.09% -4.09% WIN
2024-07-19 09:25:33 $3.3 +0.91% +2.42% +10.00% +7.57% +22.73% +31.52% -6.06% +1.52% WIN
2024-07-18 09:27:27 $3.05 -1.31% -4.59% -0.66% -3.61% +22.95% +31.15% -5.57% -1.31% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:29:35 $2.89 -3.29% +5.24% -2.08% +3.90% +9.00% +15.57% -6.92% -1.38% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:26:18 $3.17 -5.82% -7.57% -5.36% +3.13% -5.36% +13.56% -15.14% -0.95% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on SHIM

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SHIM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SHIM Strategy →

Why Analyze SHIM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SHIM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SHIM historically offers an average upside of +17.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SHIM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SHIM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SHIM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +6.21%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.