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SHV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 320 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-04 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 02, 2017
📊
320
Total Alerts
🎯
35.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.00%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.01%
Worst: -0.02%
Trades: 108/139

15MIN

Win Rate: 32.5%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -0.01%
Trades: 103/137

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.8%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -0.02%
Trades: 114/128

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.4%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -0.02%
Trades: 100/128

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 32.5%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.03%
Worst: -0.04%
Trades: 104/95

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.01%
Best MFE: +0.03%
Avg Time to MFE: 51 min

On average, SHV alerts reach +0.01% profit potential within 51 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.00%
Worst MAE: -0.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.00%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.5:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 320 alerts, SHV typically reaches +0.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 320
Gap Up % 24.4%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SHV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:01 $110.27 +0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.00% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:29:33 $110.23 -0.00% -0.00% -0.01% - - - -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:45 $110.21 -0.00% -0.00% -0.01% -0.00% -0.01% - -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:39 $110.2 - - +0.00% -0.00% - +0.01% - - -
2025-02-10 09:27:03 $110.19 - - - +0.00% +0.00% +0.01% - +0.01% -
2025-02-07 09:26:34 $110.18 - +0.01% +0.01% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% -
2025-02-06 09:29:22 $110.16 -0.00% -0.00% -0.01% -0.01% - - -0.01% -0.00% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:04 $110.13 +0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:29:39 $110.12 +0.01% +0.00% +0.01% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:23 $110.12 -0.00% -0.00% -0.00% - - - -0.01% - LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:44 $110.51 -0.01% -0.00% - -0.00% -0.00% - - -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:29:24 $110.46 +0.01% +0.01% +0.00% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% - - WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:32 $110.46 - - -0.00% - - - - - -
2025-01-28 09:28:28 $110.44 +0.00% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% - - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:50 $110.43 +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% - - WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:49 $110.41 +0.00% +0.00% - +0.01% +0.01% +0.02% - +0.01% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:03 $110.37 +0.01% - - +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:59 $110.37 -0.00% - -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% - -0.01% - LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:45 $110.35 - - - +0.00% +0.00% +0.01% - +0.01% -
2025-01-17 09:29:28 $110.34 -0.00% -0.00% - -0.00% - - -0.01% -0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SHV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 35.8% win rate and -0.00% average gain, SHV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SHV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SHV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SHV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SHV historically offers an average upside of +0.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SHV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 35.8%, SHV shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SHV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.00%). This suggests SHV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.