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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SHY

Trade-Ideas alerts 47.3% at EOD n=256 2022-01-07 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 22, 2002
Total alerts
256
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
47.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.06%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SHY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.08%
Worst: -0.12%
Trades: 102/111

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: -0.02%
Best: +0.17%
Worst: -0.14%
Trades: 111/114

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: +0.13%
Worst: -0.18%
Trades: 114/127

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.04%
Avg Loser: -0.04%
Best: +0.15%
Worst: -0.17%
Trades: 116/131

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.06%
Avg Loser: -0.08%
Best: +0.37%
Worst: -0.50%
Trades: 121/122

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.06%
Best MFE: +0.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, SHY alerts reach +0.06% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.02%
Worst MAE: -0.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.01x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 256 alerts, SHY typically reaches +0.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 256
Gap Up % 35.2%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SHY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $81.17 -0.02% -0.01% -0.02% -0.04% -0.15% +0.01% -0.02% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $81.24 +0.01% -0.00% +0.02% -0.02% -0.05% +0.02% -0.01% +0.01% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $81.12 -0.01% -0.02% -0.01% +0.01% +0.05% +0.08% -0.04% -0.00% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $81.13 -0.01% +0.01% +0.02% -0.01% -0.02% +0.04% -0.07% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $81.16 -0.01% +0.00% -0.01% -0.01% +0.06% +0.07% -0.04% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $81.19 +0.01% +0.01% +0.00% -0.02% -0.12% +0.02% -0.01% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $81.27 +0.00% -0.02% -0.10% -0.12% -0.18% +0.01% -0.01% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $81.32 -0.02% -0.02% -0.00% -0.00% +0.00% +0.00% -0.02% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $81.29 -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.02% -0.06% +0.00% -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $81.35 -0.00% -0.01% -0.01% -0.02% +0.01% +0.01% -0.05% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $81.38 +0.00% +0.02% +0.02% +0.02% -0.17% +0.08% -0.00% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $81.36 -0.02% -0.01% -0.01% -0.02% -0.06% +0.01% -0.03% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $81.43 +0.00% +0.02% -0.00% -0.01% -0.07% +0.02% -0.01% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $81.51 +0.01% -0.00% -0.02% -0.01% -0.11% +0.01% +0.00% +0.01% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $81.69 +0.00% -0.01% +0.00% -0.02% -0.04% +0.01% -0.00% +0.01% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $81.68 +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.04% -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $81.74 -0.02% -0.02% -0.02% -0.04% -0.04% +0.00% -0.02% -0.01% LOSS
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $82.05 +0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.00% +0.00% +0.01% -0.00% +0.01% WIN
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $81.99 +0.01% +0.02% +0.03% +0.02% +0.01% +0.04% +0.00% +0.01% WIN
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $81.94 -0.01% -0.01% -0.02% -0.03% -0.02% +0.00% -0.01% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SHY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.3% win rate and -0.01% average gain, SHY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SHY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SHY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SHY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SHY historically offers an average upside of +0.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SHY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.3%, SHY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SHY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SHY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.01%). This suggests SHY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.