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SIEB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-27 → 2024-07-16

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 12, 1996 🔗 www.siebert.com
💰 Market Cap: $119.7M 👥 Employees: 124
Siebert Financial Corp is a diversified financial services firm and provides a full range of brokerage and financial advisory services including securities brokerage, investment advisory and insurance offerings, and corporate stock plan administration solutions. The firm mainly provides online and traditional brokerage and related services to retail investors and also acts as an investment advisor for its subsidiary. The company operates in the securities brokerage and asset management industry. It also engages in Insurance services, Robo-advisory technology, and Prime brokerage business through its subsidiaries.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.81%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.49%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.81%
Avg Winner: +2.42%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.90%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 3/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +4.19%
Avg Loser: -5.03%
Best: +4.68%
Worst: -6.61%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.25%
Avg Winner: +5.20%
Avg Loser: -2.59%
Best: +7.01%
Worst: -2.59%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.15%
Avg Winner: +5.49%
Avg Loser: -3.19%
Best: +8.41%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.05%
Avg Winner: +6.26%
Avg Loser: -6.59%
Best: +9.20%
Worst: -6.59%
Trades: 3/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.49%
Best MFE: +11.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, SIEB alerts reach +9.49% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.46%
Worst MAE: -7.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.75:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.75x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, SIEB typically reaches +9.49% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +1.55%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES

How SIEB compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SIEB: +1.81% Sector: -0.16% +1.97%
EOD Gain
SIEB: +3.05% Sector: +0.18% +2.87%
Avg MFE
SIEB: +9.49% Sector: +2.77% +6.72%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SIEB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-16 09:26:47 $1.74 - -3.45% -2.59% -3.45% +9.20% +10.92% -4.02% - -
2023-05-01 09:29:00 $2.14 +2.80% +4.68% +7.01% +8.41% +7.01% +11.21% -0.93% +0.42% WIN
2023-04-28 09:28:00 $2.73 +2.90% -6.61% +5.49% -2.93% -6.59% +11.72% -7.33% -1.83% WIN
2023-04-27 09:27:00 $1.94 +1.55% +3.71% +3.10% +2.58% +2.58% +4.12% -1.55% +1.55% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on SIEB

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SIEB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SIEB Strategy →

Why Analyze SIEB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SIEB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SIEB historically offers an average upside of +9.49% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SIEB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, SIEB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SIEB performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.81%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.