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SILJ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 68 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-21 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (68 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jan 29, 2024
📊
68
Total Alerts
🎯
41.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.38%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +1.60%
Worst: -1.86%
Trades: 17/47

15MIN

Win Rate: 27.9%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +2.35%
Worst: -4.47%
Trades: 19/48

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -1.37%
Best: +3.11%
Worst: -3.80%
Trades: 25/42

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +3.59%
Worst: -4.57%
Trades: 28/40

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +4.90%
Worst: -6.78%
Trades: 25/42

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.43%
Best MFE: +6.44%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, SILJ alerts reach +1.43% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.86%
Worst MAE: -2.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.86%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.66:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 68 alerts, SILJ typically reaches +1.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 68
Gap Up % 29.4%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +1.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SILJ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:19 $12.24 -1.72% -2.29% -2.37% -3.71% -6.78% +0.08% -0.25% -0.25% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:40 $11.6 +0.39% +0.37% +0.69% +0.30% +2.50% +3.45% -0.78% -0.78% WIN
2025-02-10 09:27:07 $11.72 +0.77% +1.11% +0.43% +0.98% +0.17% +1.62% +0.55% +1.11% WIN
2025-01-15 09:27:00 $10.8 -1.30% -1.57% -1.94% -2.59% -1.67% +0.46% -0.56% +0.37% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:28:25 $10.3 -1.36% -1.75% -1.80% -1.99% -1.75% -0.69% -1.17% -0.78% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:07 $10.84 -0.82% -2.40% -2.12% -2.31% -3.51% -0.65% -1.66% -0.74% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:28:50 $12.21 - +0.12% +0.41% -0.16% -1.56% +1.15% +0.08% +1.15% -
2024-12-09 09:25:36 $12.25 +0.65% +1.88% +3.11% +3.59% +0.33% +3.75% -0.49% -0.33% WIN
2024-11-18 09:26:13 $12.21 -0.82% -0.33% -0.08% +0.57% -0.33% +0.98% -1.06% -0.49% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:28:56 $12.03 -0.91% -0.62% -0.58% -1.00% -2.49% +0.29% -1.16% -1.00% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:25:15 $12.68 -1.58% +1.41% +1.14% +2.96% +3.00% +3.75% -2.21% -0.08% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:54 $13.99 -0.14% -0.21% -0.79% -1.00% -3.50% - -0.64% -0.43% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:29:34 $15.02 +0.07% -0.07% -0.47% -1.05% -1.66% +1.00% -0.60% -0.13% WIN
2024-09-19 09:28:18 $12.92 -1.39% -2.40% -1.55% -1.64% -1.78% +0.39% -0.70% -0.15% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:03 $10.4 -0.10% +0.48% +1.74% +3.03% +4.90% +6.44% -2.21% +0.96% LOSS
2024-07-12 09:25:06 $12.8 - +0.39% +1.37% +1.80% +1.48% +2.27% -0.62% -0.31% -
2024-07-11 09:25:43 $13.05 -0.23% -1.38% -1.80% -1.34% +0.08% +0.46% -0.05% +0.15% LOSS
2024-06-07 09:26:22 $11.9 -0.59% -1.43% -2.02% -1.39% -3.45% +0.34% -0.76% -0.08% LOSS
2024-05-29 09:25:29 $12.57 -0.08% -0.20% +0.44% +0.20% - +0.95% -0.48% -0.40% LOSS
2024-05-20 09:27:29 $12.93 -0.54% -1.89% -0.35% -0.19% +0.85% +1.47% -2.24% +0.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SILJ Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.2% win rate and -0.38% average gain, SILJ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SILJ for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SILJ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SILJ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SILJ historically offers an average upside of +1.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SILJ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.2%, SILJ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SILJ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SILJ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.38%). This suggests SILJ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.