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SIVR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 80 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-27 → 2024-12-05

⚠️ Small sample size (80 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jul 24, 2009
📊
80
Total Alerts
🎯
51.9%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.03%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.22%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -0.87%
Trades: 33/40

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.41%
Worst: -1.97%
Trades: 33/42

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -2.18%
Trades: 41/35

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +2.01%
Worst: -2.70%
Trades: 41/36

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 39/39

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.07%
Best MFE: +3.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, SIVR alerts reach +1.07% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.34%
Worst MAE: -1.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 80 alerts, SIVR typically reaches +1.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 80
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +0.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How SIVR compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SIVR: -0.02% Sector: -0.01% -0.01%
EOD Gain
SIVR: -0.08% Sector: +257.70% -257.78%
Avg MFE
SIVR: +1.04% Sector: +1.89% -0.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SIVR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-05 09:27:28 $29.8 +0.17% +0.49% -0.07% -0.30% +0.40% +0.49% +0.10% +0.17% WIN
2024-11-13 09:27:24 $29.6 -0.10% -0.34% -0.82% -1.06% -2.30% +0.07% -0.07% -0.07% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:53 $25.81 -0.23% +0.43% +0.43% -0.04% +0.77% +1.55% -0.43% -0.04% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:26:24 $26.43 +0.23% -0.04% -0.04% +0.49% +0.57% +1.14% -0.26% -0.04% WIN
2024-06-12 09:28:55 $28.75 +0.03% -0.70% -0.83% -0.73% -1.53% +0.38% -1.53% +0.17% WIN
2024-06-07 09:29:05 $28.6 -0.87% -0.80% -1.40% -0.66% -2.48% -0.14% -0.28% -0.14% LOSS
2024-06-04 09:28:58 $28.65 -0.84% -1.43% -1.71% -1.05% -1.40% -0.21% -0.38% -0.21% LOSS
2024-05-30 09:25:01 $30.14 +0.23% +0.40% +0.56% +0.20% -1.36% +0.86% - +0.13% WIN
2024-05-29 09:26:20 $30.46 - -0.26% +0.39% +0.39% +0.30% +1.28% -0.38% -0.10% -
2024-05-20 09:25:13 $30.25 -0.10% -0.74% -0.26% -0.03% +0.26% +2.25% -1.69% +0.13% LOSS
2024-05-15 09:28:18 $27.76 +0.19% -0.18% -1.26% -0.65% +2.31% +2.47% -1.69% +0.22% WIN
2024-04-22 09:26:02 $26.16 -0.34% -0.11% +0.31% +0.54% -0.34% +0.76% -0.84% -0.23% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:28:38 $28.07 +0.14% +0.21% +0.80% +0.28% -4.45% +1.53% -0.35% -0.07% WIN
2024-04-11 09:29:22 $26.85 +0.30% - +0.26% -0.56% +1.38% +1.45% -1.04% +0.19% WIN
2024-04-10 09:25:52 $26.43 -0.34% +0.34% +0.79% +2.01% +0.68% +3.25% -0.34% +0.26% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:28:22 $22.86 +0.39% +0.48% +0.61% +0.66% +1.14% +1.74% +0.04% +0.04% WIN
2024-03-01 09:25:54 $21.76 -0.28% -0.37% -0.60% +0.55% +1.79% +2.34% -0.78% -0.09% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:28:27 $21.78 -0.18% -0.23% -0.51% -0.51% -0.32% -0.14% -0.51% -0.37% LOSS
2024-02-12 09:27:47 $21.6 -0.19% +0.23% +0.46% +0.65% +0.56% +0.92% -0.23% -0.09% LOSS
2024-02-02 00:00:00 $21.59 - - - - +0.56% +3.01% +2.59% -0.19% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SIVR Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.9% win rate, SIVR has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SIVR profitable.

🔧 Fix SIVR Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SIVR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SIVR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SIVR historically offers an average upside of +1.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SIVR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, SIVR shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.66%) outweigh average wins (+0.50%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SIVR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.03%). This suggests SIVR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.