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Latest signal:

SJ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-06 → 2023-11-09

⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Scienjoy Holding Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION (SIC 7374)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 11, 2020 🔗 www.scienjoy.com
💰 Market Cap: $50.4M 👥 Employees: 280
Scienjoy Holding Corp is a provider of mobile live streaming platforms in China and focuses on interactive show live streaming from broadcasters to users. It operates a mobile live streaming business by which it provides live streaming entertainment from professional broadcasters to end-users, allowing for the operation of live social video communities. Using its mobile applications, users can select broadcasters and enter real-time video rooms to interact with them. In addition to the real-time interaction, users can also view photos posted by broadcasters in their personal pages, leave comments, and engage in private chats with broadcasters when such broadcasters are not streaming. In addition, users can also play simple, fun games using virtual currencies within the video rooms.
📊
20
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-1.90%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+8.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -1.91%
Best: +3.72%
Worst: -5.79%
Trades: 10/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +3.26%
Avg Loser: -5.08%
Best: +6.49%
Worst: -20.04%
Trades: 9/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -2.04%
Avg Winner: +3.27%
Avg Loser: -6.28%
Best: +9.19%
Worst: -26.16%
Trades: 8/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -4.80%
Avg Winner: +3.90%
Avg Loser: -14.20%
Best: +12.46%
Worst: -36.15%
Trades: 7/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -1.90%
Avg Winner: +7.96%
Avg Loser: -16.68%
Best: +33.51%
Worst: -47.34%
Trades: 12/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.63%
Best MFE: +37.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, SJ alerts reach +8.63% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.80%
Worst MAE: -52.31%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.8:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, SJ typically reaches +8.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 26.3%
Avg Gap -0.39%
Best Gap +3.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How SJ compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SJ: +0.17% Sector: -0.45% +0.62%
EOD Gain
SJ: -3.12% Sector: +1109.54% -1112.67%
Avg MFE
SJ: +10.02% Sector: +6.73% +3.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SJ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-09 09:26:00 $2.7 +3.33% - - - +1.78% +5.19% -3.33% +3.33% WIN
2023-10-13 09:25:00 $2.92 - -2.40% -2.05% - +4.11% +5.82% -2.74% -0.68% -
2023-09-28 09:29:00 $3.9 +1.54% +5.01% +1.28% -36.15% -23.59% +22.31% -52.31% - WIN
2023-09-27 09:27:00 $3.81 +1.57% +3.69% +1.07% +1.57% +1.05% +4.99% -2.89% -1.57% WIN
2023-09-13 09:25:00 $2.59 +0.77% -1.54% -2.32% -2.70% +5.41% +6.18% -3.09% - WIN
2023-03-30 09:29:00 $4.0 +0.25% - - - +2.50% +4.75% - +0.50% WIN
2022-12-14 09:25:00 $2.09 -4.31% - -3.83% - -4.78% +0.96% -4.31% -2.39% LOSS
2022-10-06 09:25:00 $1.38 -0.72% +4.35% +3.62% - +0.72% +11.59% -3.62% -2.90% LOSS
2022-10-05 09:25:00 $2.2 -0.33% -4.55% -7.73% -9.55% -37.27% +1.82% -2.27% -2.27% LOSS
2022-10-04 09:25:00 $2.2 -1.79% +1.82% +1.36% +1.36% -0.45% +2.73% -3.18% -0.91% LOSS
2022-10-03 09:25:00 $2.21 +2.26% +3.62% +1.81% +0.91% +5.88% +9.95% -0.45% - WIN
2022-09-30 09:25:00 $2.35 -5.79% -5.53% -8.51% -8.09% -5.96% - - -2.13% LOSS
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $2.42 +3.72% +1.24% -1.24% -2.48% -7.44% +4.13% +1.24% +2.89% WIN
2022-09-28 09:25:00 $2.23 +3.14% +0.90% +4.94% +6.26% +15.25% +16.14% -2.24% -0.90% WIN
2022-09-27 09:25:00 $1.85 -1.08% +6.49% +9.19% +12.46% +33.51% +37.84% -1.08% +0.54% LOSS
2022-09-23 09:25:00 $3.18 -0.94% -5.97% -7.55% -8.18% -6.60% +5.66% -3.14% -0.31% LOSS
2022-09-16 09:25:00 $5.83 -1.95% -20.04% -26.16% -32.25% -47.34% +4.97% -3.60% +2.92% LOSS
2022-09-15 09:25:00 $4.42 +0.91% +2.26% +2.89% +4.07% +13.12% +13.80% -1.36% -1.36% WIN
2022-09-14 09:25:00 $4.38 +1.21% -0.46% -0.46% +0.68% +6.85% +8.22% -4.11% - WIN
2022-09-06 09:25:00 $3.21 -0.31% -0.16% -2.98% - +5.30% +5.61% -3.43% -2.18% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SJ Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, SJ has -1.90% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SJ profitable.

🔧 Fix SJ Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SJ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SJ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SJ historically offers an average upside of +8.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SJ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, SJ shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-16.68%) outweigh average wins (+7.96%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SJ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.90%). This suggests SJ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.