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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SJM

Trade-Ideas alert history 11 alerts 2022-05-132025-02-06

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 11 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 31, 1994 🔗 www.jmsmucker.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.04B 👥 Employees: 8,000
J.M. Smucker is a packaged food company that primarily sells through the US retail channel (73% of fiscal 2025 revenue came through its retail pet foods, coffee, and frozen handheld/spreads segments), with the remaining share consisting of sweet baked snacks (through the Hostess acquisition) and international (primarily Canada). Retail coffee is its largest category (32% of sales) with brands Folgers and Dunkin'. Pet foods (19% of sales) holds leading brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix. Of its remaining, approximately 22% comes from frozen handhelds and spreads, through brands Jif, Smucker's, and Uncrustables. The company acquired Hostess Brands in fiscal 2024 to boost its snack and convenience store presence.
Total alerts
11
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
63.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.35%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.34%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SJM on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +2.81%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 5/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +3.66%
Worst: -1.54%
Trades: 6/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +3.25%
Worst: -1.82%
Trades: 4/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +2.82%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 6/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +2.61%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 7/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.34%
Best MFE: +3.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, SJM alerts reach +1.34% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.10%
Worst MAE: -1.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

12.84:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 12.84x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, SJM typically reaches +1.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 45.5%
Avg Gap +0.20%
Best Gap +3.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CANNED, FRUITS, VEG, PRESERVES, JAMS & JELLIES

How SJM compares to 1 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SJM: +0.04% Sector: +0.04% +0.00%
EOD Gain
SJM: +0.35% Sector: +0.35% +0.00%
Avg MFE
SJM: +1.34% Sector: +1.34% +0.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SJM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:26:05 $104.01 +0.46% +0.32% -0.58% -0.65% -0.78% +1.26% +0.46% +1.26% WIN
2024-12-23 09:27:10 $109.89 +0.55% +0.01% -0.44% +0.30% +1.19% +1.36% -0.51% -0.51% WIN
2024-11-21 09:25:05 $112.76 -0.46% -1.54% -1.52% -1.11% +1.00% +1.06% -1.69% -0.62% LOSS
2024-09-04 09:29:04 $119.0 +1.51% +0.87% +1.68% +1.38% +1.29% +2.07% -0.13% +0.06% WIN
2024-08-29 09:26:35 $115.23 -0.97% -0.51% -1.82% -1.47% -1.25% -0.49% -1.35% -0.63% LOSS
2024-08-27 09:25:00 $117.63 +2.81% +3.66% +3.25% +2.82% +2.61% +3.88% +2.81% +3.17% WIN
2024-08-12 09:28:07 $118.66 -0.78% -0.58% -0.69% -0.49% -1.08% -0.20% -0.28% -0.28% LOSS
2024-06-06 09:27:15 $115.0 -0.64% -0.01% +1.18% +1.66% +0.32% +2.74% +2.35% -0.55% LOSS
2024-06-04 09:27:11 $111.5 -1.08% -1.23% -0.97% -0.47% +0.18% +0.60% -1.44% -0.35% LOSS
2023-09-11 09:29:00 $130.99 -1.09% +0.33% +0.07% +0.10% +0.51% +1.83% -1.52% +0.14% LOSS
2022-05-13 09:25:00 $144.4 +0.14% +0.33% -0.18% +0.31% -0.12% +0.61% +0.14% +0.47% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 63.6% Baseline on SJM

The 63.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SJM's performance to 75%+.

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Why Analyze SJM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SJM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SJM historically offers an average upside of +1.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SJM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, SJM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SJM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.