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SMR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 234 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-04 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 03, 2022 🔗 www.nuscalepower.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.59B 👥 Employees: 330
NuScale Power Corp is redefining nuclear power through the development of proprietary and SMR technology that will deliver safe, scalable, cost-effective, and reliable carbon-free power. Its products are VOYGR Plants and E2 Centers.
📊
234
Total Alerts
🎯
50.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.29%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+6.21%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -1.82%
Best: +7.10%
Worst: -12.44%
Trades: 107/125

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: -0.76%
Avg Winner: +3.17%
Avg Loser: -3.95%
Best: +13.25%
Worst: -98.52%
Trades: 105/129

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +3.76%
Avg Loser: -3.57%
Best: +15.45%
Worst: -24.74%
Trades: 112/121

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.5%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +4.97%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +20.17%
Worst: -20.62%
Trades: 99/132

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +6.30%
Avg Loser: -5.82%
Best: +27.13%
Worst: -25.04%
Trades: 118/116

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.21%
Best MFE: +30.96%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, SMR alerts reach +6.21% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.68%
Worst MAE: -98.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 234 alerts, SMR typically reaches +6.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 234
Gap Up % 43.2%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +1.90%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FABRICATED PLATE WORK (BOILER SHOPS)

How SMR compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SMR: -0.17% Sector: -0.18% +0.00%
EOD Gain
SMR: +0.35% Sector: +0.32% +0.02%
Avg MFE
SMR: +6.20% Sector: +6.14% +0.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SMR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:26 $25.01 +0.49% -3.89% -3.08% -2.60% -7.72% +0.92% -2.48% +0.04% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:13 $26.56 -1.20% -3.86% -3.95% -3.88% -6.97% +0.30% +0.04% -0.60% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:19 $24.97 -0.44% +0.64% +1.36% +4.81% +5.73% +8.53% -2.16% -0.08% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:59 $27.26 +0.44% -2.71% -1.50% -3.32% -5.14% +2.71% +0.04% +0.66% WIN
2025-02-10 09:27:45 $25.64 -0.28% +2.96% +2.81% +4.21% +7.10% +10.06% -2.33% - LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:13 $23.5 +4.23% +6.49% +15.45% +12.64% +9.96% +16.17% -0.25% -0.17% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:55 $24.95 +2.61% -2.24% -6.09% -5.15% -6.81% +4.61% -0.16% +0.52% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:35 $22.96 +0.85% +0.83% +0.07% -0.65% +6.93% +13.63% -1.18% +0.22% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:08 $23.8 +0.92% -5.59% -3.15% -2.32% -3.45% +1.05% -2.35% -0.34% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:20 $21.85 -2.38% +2.43% +3.78% +5.49% +9.15% +11.21% -3.39% -1.83% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:29:36 $24.0 +0.79% +1.54% +1.81% +5.71% -0.67% +11.46% -1.42% -0.12% WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:08 $22.26 -0.47% +2.38% +3.86% +5.84% +5.93% +9.39% -1.17% -0.22% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:26:19 $21.1 +1.75% +3.32% +7.89% +9.34% +4.27% +10.35% +0.14% +0.71% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:32 $21.56 -5.98% -7.37% -7.64% -3.76% -2.83% +0.42% -1.07% -0.97% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:53 $23.24 -2.93% -1.85% -3.03% -6.72% -12.78% +2.19% -2.50% -0.39% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:27:11 $29.13 +0.72% +0.10% -1.73% -0.96% -3.98% +1.44% -2.85% -1.20% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:38 $24.58 +1.63% +3.97% +4.97% +6.61% +18.31% +20.67% +0.04% +0.69% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:49 $25.77 -0.52% -1.86% -0.37% -1.90% -0.78% +2.83% -0.04% +0.47% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:58 $23.7 +2.54% +1.90% -2.53% +0.08% +8.06% +8.14% -5.32% +0.68% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:44 $21.08 -1.34% +1.02% +1.92% +1.21% +4.22% +10.20% -3.32% -0.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.4% Baseline on SMR

The 50.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SMR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SMR Strategy →

Why Analyze SMR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMR historically offers an average upside of +6.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SMR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.4%, SMR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SMR performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.29%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.