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SOC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-09-03 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 19, 2021 🔗 www.sableoffshore.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.51B 👥 Employees: 161
Sable Offshore Corp is a Houston-based independent upstream company focused on responsibly developing the prolific Santa Ynez Unit in federal waters offshore California. The company is managed as one reportable segment, oil and gas.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+3.02%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+9.40%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +2.90%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: +3.54%
Worst: -3.91%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.18%
Avg Winner: +6.14%
Avg Loser: -3.79%
Best: +6.30%
Worst: -4.79%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.33%
Avg Winner: +6.85%
Avg Loser: -2.19%
Best: +7.23%
Worst: -3.58%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.02%
Avg Winner: +6.07%
Avg Loser: -6.15%
Best: +8.83%
Worst: -6.15%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.53%
Avg Winner: +7.83%
Avg Loser: -9.36%
Best: +16.86%
Worst: -9.36%
Trades: 3/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.40%
Best MFE: +21.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, SOC alerts reach +9.40% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.23%
Worst MAE: -3.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.23%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, SOC typically reaches +9.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.59%
Best Gap +0.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How SOC compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SOC: +0.30% Sector: -0.16% +0.46%
EOD Gain
SOC: +3.53% Sector: +59.69% -56.16%
Avg MFE
SOC: +9.40% Sector: +2.88% +6.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SOC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:27:55 $29.5 -0.68% -2.78% -0.80% +2.03% +3.83% +6.98% -3.83% - LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:48 $27.48 +2.26% +6.30% +6.48% +7.35% +2.80% +8.44% -1.38% -0.47% WIN
2024-12-19 09:27:20 $24.56 -3.91% -4.79% -3.58% -6.15% -9.36% +0.69% -3.91% -2.10% LOSS
2024-09-03 09:29:27 $20.05 +3.54% +5.99% +7.23% +8.83% +16.86% +21.50% +0.20% +0.22% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on SOC

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SOC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SOC Strategy →

Why Analyze SOC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOC historically offers an average upside of +9.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SOC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, SOC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SOC performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.