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SONO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 02, 2018 🔗 www.sonos.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.80B 👥 Employees: 1,404
Sonos Inc is an audio company dedicated to elevating life through sound, offering a connected platform that brings together music, movies, stories, and conversations. Its portfolio includes home theater speakers, components, plug-in and portable speakers and headphones, known for exceptional sound, thoughtful design, ease of use and seamless access to audio content. Its partner products and other revenue categories include accessories for home integration, such as custom-designed stands, mounts, and shelving units, along with partnerships for architectural speakers and automotive sound systems, as well as licensing, advertising revenue, and subscription-based services. The company operates in the United States and other countries, with the majority of revenue coming from the United States.
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
53.3%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.18%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.91%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +3.23%
Worst: -2.15%
Trades: 7/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -2.31%
Best: +4.23%
Worst: -5.91%
Trades: 8/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.40%
Avg Winner: +2.97%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +6.02%
Worst: -6.94%
Trades: 7/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.73%
Avg Winner: +3.66%
Avg Loser: -2.63%
Best: +9.58%
Worst: -6.73%
Trades: 8/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -1.18%
Avg Winner: +3.07%
Avg Loser: -4.91%
Best: +8.33%
Worst: -10.62%
Trades: 7/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.91%
Best MFE: +11.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 76 min

On average, SONO alerts reach +3.91% profit potential within 76 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.40%
Worst MAE: -2.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, SONO typically reaches +3.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOUSEHOLD AUDIO & VIDEO EQUIPMENT

How SONO compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SONO: +0.11% Sector: +1.70% -1.59%
EOD Gain
SONO: -1.18% Sector: +1.67% -2.85%
Avg MFE
SONO: +3.91% Sector: +15.03% -11.12%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SONO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:25:34 $14.89 +0.47% +4.23% +4.56% +5.11% +0.74% +6.11% -0.88% - WIN
2024-11-20 09:27:08 $13.0 +0.38% -0.46% -0.17% -1.23% -0.38% +1.15% -0.92% - WIN
2024-09-06 09:29:21 $11.94 -0.04% -1.00% -0.92% -1.05% -2.93% +0.50% -0.17% +0.25% LOSS
2024-02-07 09:25:46 $18.1 +3.23% +3.15% +6.02% +5.97% +6.52% +7.46% -0.66% +1.16% WIN
2023-11-15 09:26:00 $11.33 +0.53% +1.54% +1.41% +3.13% +0.18% +3.18% -1.06% -0.53% WIN
2023-08-10 09:28:00 $16.38 +2.32% +1.04% -1.40% -3.91% -10.62% +4.27% +0.43% +1.22% WIN
2023-07-20 09:28:00 $17.31 -0.46% -0.75% -0.75% -1.96% -5.83% -0.35% -1.10% -0.52% LOSS
2023-05-11 09:28:00 $17.0 -2.15% -4.16% -3.03% -2.29% -5.06% +4.06% -1.53% - LOSS
2023-02-09 09:25:00 $20.42 +0.29% -2.01% +0.39% +1.37% +1.86% +4.74% -2.48% +0.83% WIN
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $17.32 -0.81% -1.86% -1.27% -1.20% -0.87% +0.75% -2.77% -0.40% LOSS
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $18.95 -0.55% -5.91% -6.94% -6.73% -9.82% +0.95% -1.11% +0.24% LOSS
2022-05-12 09:25:00 $20.05 -0.87% +1.90% +4.86% +9.58% +8.33% +11.70% -2.69% -0.20% LOSS
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $29.11 +1.19% +0.41% -0.33% +1.03% +3.74% +4.81% -1.68% -0.03% WIN
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $27.8 -1.55% +0.50% +2.14% +2.43% +0.14% +6.98% -2.66% -1.81% LOSS
2022-01-07 09:25:00 $29.8 -0.35% +0.64% +1.41% +0.67% -3.76% +2.35% -1.64% -0.64% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SONO Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 53.3% win rate, SONO has -0.18% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SONO profitable.

🔧 Fix SONO Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SONO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SONO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SONO historically offers an average upside of +3.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SONO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.3%, SONO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.31%) outweigh average wins (+1.68%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SONO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.18%). This suggests SONO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.