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SONY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 52 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-01-17

⚠️ Small sample size (52 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sony Group Corporation American Depositary Shares (Each Representing One Share of Dollar Validated Common Stock)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 10, 1970 🔗 www.sony.com
💰 Market Cap: $137.03B 👥 Employees: 112,300
Sony Group is a conglomerate with consumer electronics roots, which not only designs, develops, produces, and sells electronic equipment and devices, but also is engaged in content businesses, such as console and mobile games, music, and movies. Sony is the global top company of CMOS image sensors, game consoles, professional broadcasting cameras, and music publishing, and is one of the top players on digital cameras, wireless earphones, recorded music, movies, and so on. Sony's business portfolio is well diversified with five major business segments.
📊
52
Total Alerts
🎯
55.8%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.11%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.1%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +1.91%
Worst: -6.01%
Trades: 22/28

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.8%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +3.48%
Worst: -7.13%
Trades: 29/23

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +5.82%
Worst: -6.58%
Trades: 25/27

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +4.63%
Worst: -7.43%
Trades: 24/28

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 21.6%
Avg Gain: -44.06%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -56.37%
Best: +2.52%
Worst: -81.33%
Trades: 11/40

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.92%
Best MFE: +6.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, SONY alerts reach +0.92% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.48%
Worst MAE: -2.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.93:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, SONY typically reaches +0.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 52
Gap Up % 38.5%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +2.98%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SONY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-17 09:28:52 $20.6 -0.24% -0.12% +0.12% +0.29% +0.19% +0.49% -0.29% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:27:34 $20.55 -0.73% -0.54% -1.02% -1.07% -1.07% -0.15% -0.51% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:56 $20.44 -0.51% -0.29% -0.59% +0.17% -0.44% +0.68% -0.95% +0.05% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:25:31 $21.9 +0.05% +0.25% -0.05% -0.23% -0.59% +0.64% -0.27% - WIN
2024-12-03 09:29:19 $20.4 +0.19% +0.17% +0.20% -0.37% +0.34% +0.44% +0.20% +0.25% WIN
2024-11-08 09:28:09 $19.42 +1.91% +3.48% +5.82% +4.63% +2.52% +6.41% - +0.39% WIN
2024-10-24 09:26:15 $17.6 +0.23% +0.09% +0.20% +0.31% +0.51% +0.80% -0.06% - WIN
2024-10-18 09:29:37 $18.21 -0.41% -0.49% -0.36% -0.30% +0.05% +0.16% -0.71% -0.55% LOSS
2024-06-21 09:26:39 $80.95 -0.56% -0.75% -0.54% -0.48% -80.10% -0.27% -0.64% -0.36% LOSS
2024-05-14 09:25:15 $79.1 +1.12% +1.74% +1.97% +2.26% -79.46% +3.48% -0.57% - WIN
2024-04-23 09:25:04 $81.2 -0.10% +0.17% +0.62% +0.68% +0.75% +0.86% -0.21% -0.06% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:27:11 $87.19 -0.17% -0.44% -0.19% +0.02% -80.07% +0.18% -0.46% +0.02% LOSS
2024-02-26 09:25:34 $86.76 -0.22% -0.52% -0.37% -0.59% -0.80% +0.12% +0.12% -0.23% LOSS
2024-02-22 09:29:09 $88.49 -0.18% +0.24% +0.42% -0.02% -80.04% +0.62% -0.29% -0.27% LOSS
2024-02-14 09:27:25 $96.0 -2.58% -5.14% -5.63% -5.80% -80.89% -0.32% -0.32% -0.85% LOSS
2023-12-19 09:26:00 $91.43 +0.25% +0.16% +0.79% +1.09% +0.21% +1.34% - +0.25% WIN
2023-12-13 09:26:00 $90.88 -0.37% -0.56% -0.53% -0.50% -79.80% +1.08% -1.20% -0.33% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:25:00 $88.57 +0.43% +0.41% +0.91% +0.73% -80.04% +1.10% -0.01% +0.49% WIN
2023-11-28 09:29:00 $86.5 +0.06% +0.07% +0.10% +0.34% +0.84% +1.28% -0.11% +0.23% WIN
2023-11-09 09:27:00 $87.54 -6.01% -7.13% -6.58% -7.43% -81.33% -2.06% -2.42% -2.19% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SONY Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 55.8% win rate, SONY has -0.11% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SONY profitable.

🔧 Fix SONY Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SONY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SONY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SONY historically offers an average upside of +0.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SONY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.8%, SONY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.92%) outweigh average wins (+0.54%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SONY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.11%). This suggests SONY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.