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Latest signal:

SOXL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Mar 11, 2010
📊
759
Total Alerts
🎯
51.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.83%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +3.19%
Worst: -4.03%
Trades: 366/379

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -1.57%
Best: +7.54%
Worst: -6.32%
Trades: 374/378

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +13.67%
Worst: -8.12%
Trades: 368/385

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.45%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +15.26%
Worst: -12.42%
Trades: 366/384

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +4.05%
Avg Loser: -4.34%
Best: +24.35%
Worst: -18.47%
Trades: 392/365

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.83%
Best MFE: +29.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, SOXL alerts reach +3.83% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.47%
Worst MAE: -11.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.47%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, SOXL typically reaches +3.83% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 45.7%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.63%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SOXL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:59 $28.47 -0.74% +0.68% -0.46% +0.25% +0.28% +1.23% -1.28% +0.05% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:58 $27.59 +1.16% +0.65% +1.43% +1.85% +3.19% +3.48% -0.69% -0.36% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:00 $26.3 -0.99% +1.59% +1.05% +2.43% +4.71% +4.68% -1.33% -0.46% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:49 $26.67 +0.81% +2.40% +3.96% +3.15% +2.74% +4.61% -0.11% +0.04% WIN
2025-02-10 09:28:14 $26.94 +0.59% +1.52% +1.47% +0.32% +1.52% +2.26% -0.15% -0.07% WIN
2025-02-07 09:27:44 $27.76 +1.69% +0.36% -1.37% -2.63% -5.15% +1.87% +0.07% +0.40% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:17 $27.13 -1.26% -0.29% +0.11% +0.74% +2.06% +2.47% -1.51% +0.15% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:26:39 $26.08 -0.73% -1.19% -0.77% +0.88% +6.21% +7.36% -2.07% +0.04% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:29:46 $25.39 +0.04% -0.03% +1.86% +3.96% +3.39% +4.77% -0.75% -0.20% WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:17 $24.68 -0.26% +0.04% +0.14% +4.46% +3.77% +7.33% -1.50% +0.49% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:29:50 $27.62 +0.58% -0.31% +1.99% +4.24% -2.17% +5.90% -1.05% +0.04% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:42 $26.75 -0.49% -0.94% -0.65% -0.90% +1.50% +3.44% -2.28% -0.64% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:25:53 $26.33 -2.58% -2.39% -1.60% -2.68% -2.47% +0.04% -0.04% -0.84% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:27:29 $25.45 -2.00% -5.83% -3.58% -1.06% -0.31% +1.38% -6.68% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:11 $27.87 -1.51% -1.04% -0.25% -1.96% -10.08% +0.75% -2.91% -0.75% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:56 $34.87 -1.95% -2.68% -2.21% -2.64% -6.37% +0.20% -0.26% +0.20% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:27:40 $33.57 -1.09% -0.69% -0.71% -0.25% +4.02% +4.20% -1.67% -0.39% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:20 $34.59 +2.05% +2.17% +3.61% +2.49% +1.62% +4.51% -0.52% +0.29% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:43 $33.29 -0.01% -0.45% -0.75% -0.09% +1.20% +3.72% -2.37% +0.12% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:01 $31.99 -0.34% -0.97% -1.06% -0.78% +1.56% +2.25% -1.59% +0.12% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.6% Baseline on SOXL

The 51.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SOXL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SOXL Strategy →

Why Analyze SOXL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOXL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOXL historically offers an average upside of +3.83% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SOXL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.6%, SOXL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SOXL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.