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SOXQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-06 → 2023-04-24

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 11, 2021
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.71%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.20%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: -0.42%
Worst: -1.93%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.71%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: -1.59%
Best: +0.17%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: -0.29%
Worst: -0.74%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.20%
Best MFE: +0.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 83 min

On average, SOXQ alerts reach +0.20% profit potential within 83 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.17%
Worst MAE: -1.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.17:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, SOXQ typically reaches +0.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.45%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How SOXQ compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SOXQ: +0.00% Sector: -0.13% +0.13%
EOD Gain
SOXQ: +0.00% Sector: +3.47% -3.47%
Avg MFE
SOXQ: +0.00% Sector: +1.91% -1.91%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SOXQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-24 09:26:00 $23.76 -0.42% - +0.17% - -0.29% +0.45% -0.42% - LOSS
2023-04-06 09:27:00 $24.37 -1.93% - -1.59% - -0.74% -0.04% -1.93% -0.90% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SOXQ Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.71% average gain, SOXQ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SOXQ for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SOXQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOXQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOXQ historically offers an average upside of +0.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SOXQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, SOXQ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SOXQ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SOXQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.71%). This suggests SOXQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.